Blues vs Lightning Prediction 1/16/26 NHL Picks Today
Tampa Bay Lightning (29-13-3) vs. St. Louis Blues (18-21-8)
January 16, 2026 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: St. Louis Blues 160 / Tampa Bay Lightning -192; Over/Under: 5.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Tampa Bay Lightning and St. Louis Blues meet Friday in NHL action at the Enterprise Center. Here’s a Blues vs Lightning Prediction. This article will include a Blues vs Lightning Pick.
Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview
The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Penguins and Flyers, and they play the Stars next. The Lightning have won 11 straight games.
The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 3.51 goals per game and are scoring on 20.1 percent of their power play opportunities. Nikita Kucherov leads Tampa Bay with 23 goals, Jake Guentzel has 27 assists, and Brandon Hagel has 117 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 2.56 goals per game and are killing 83.7 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has allowed 63 goals on 731 shots faced, while Jonas Johansson has given up 47 goals on 454 shots.
St. Louis Blues Betting Preview
The St. Louis Blues lost to the Golden Knights, beat the Hurricanes, and they play the Oilers next. The Blues have lost 5 of their last 8 games.
The St. Louis Blues are averaging 2.49 goals per game and are scoring on 17.1 percent of their power play opportunities. Justin Faulk leads St. Louis with 11 goals, Robert Thomas has 22 assists, and Jordan Kyrou has 90 shots on goal. Defensively, the St. Louis Blues are allowing 3.38 goals per game and are killing 77 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Jordan Binnington has allowed 87 goals on 673 shots faced, and Joel Hofer has given up 63 goals on 645 shots.
Why the St. Louis Blues will win
- The home team has won each of the Blues’ last seven games.
- The Lightning have lost two of their last three games as road favorites following a shootout win.
- The home team has covered the puck line in each of the Blues’ last seven games.
- The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last five games as road favorites following a shootout win.
- The home team has won the second period in six of the Blues’ last seven games.
Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win
- The Lightning have won each of their last 11 games.
- The Blues have lost 12 of their last 13 night games following a home win.
- The Blues have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six night games against opponents on a winning streak.
- The Lightning have covered the puck line in each of their last four games against Central Division opponents.
- The Lightning have won the third period in each of their last four games against Central Division opponents.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the Lightning’s last five games against Central Division opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Four of the last five games between the Lightning and Blues have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Blues’ last nine night games at Enterprise Center against opponents on a winning streak.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2’ market has hit in each of the Lightning’s last seven games as favorites against the Blues.
St. Louis Blues Player Prop Facts
- Otto Stenberg has recorded at least one assist in each of the Blues’ last four games against Atlantic Division opponents.
- Nick Bjugstad has scored 11 career goals against the Lightning – equal-most against any opponent (including playoffs).
Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts
- Nikita Kucherov has scored at least one goal in six of the Lightning’s last seven road games.
- Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in each of the Lightning’s last eight games as road favorites against Central Division opponents.
- Jack Finley has recorded a faceoff win percentage of 100.0% against the Blues this season – most against any opponent.
Matchup/League Facts
- The St. Louis Blues rank 32nd in the league for goals per game this season (2.49).
- The St. Louis Blues rank 29th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.38).
- The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 2nd in the league for goals per game this season (3.51).
- The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 2nd in the league for goals against per game this season (2.56).
Blues vs Lightning Prediction
The Blues have played their best hockey on their home ice this season, so you can make a case for the plus money. However, the Lightning have won 11 straight games, and we’ve been behind them for most of them. The streak won’t last forever, but I’m going to continue blindly backing the hot team until the money runs dry. The Lightning are playing elite hockey at both ends of the ice during this stretch. The Blues have too many spots where the offense comes up short. Give me the Lightning to keep things rolling.