Blues vs Maple Leafs Prediction 11/18/25 NHL Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Blues vs Maple Leafs Prediction for this NHL game on Tuesday, November 18^th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Toronto Maple Leafs Preview

The Maple Leafs have 18 points this season with a 8-9-2 record, and are 6-13 ATS and 16-3 in over/under. They have a 7-4-2 home record and a 1-5 road record and are sitting 7th in the Atlantic Division. They are coming off a 3-2 road loss to the Blackhawks and will face the Blue Jackets and Canadiens next.

Offensively, the Maple Leafs are averaging 3.53 goals per game and are scoring 16.00% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.79 goals per game and are killing 78.95% of their opponent’s power plays.

William Nylander leads Toronto with 26 points, 8 goals and 18 assists, while John Tavares follows with 24 points, 11 goals and 13 assists. Anthony Stolarz is the starting goalie for the Maple Leafs, and he has a 5-6-2 record, with 3.51 GAA and .884 SV%. Dennis Hildeby is the backup goalie and he has a 2-2-0 record, with 3.81 GAA and .904 SV%.

St. Louis Blues Preview

The Blues have 16 points this season with a 6-9-4 record, and are 6-13 ATS and 11-8 in over/under. They have a 3-5-4 home record and a 3-4 road record and are sitting 7th in the Central Division. They are coming off a 4-1 home loss to the Golden Knights and will face the Flyers and Islanders next.

Offensively, the Blues are averaging 2.79 goals per game and are scoring 22.92% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.84 goals per game and are killing 70.83% of their opponent’s power plays.

Robert Thomas leads St. Louis with 14 points, 3 goals and 11 assists, while Jordan Kyrou follows with 11 points, 6 goals and 5 assists. Jordan Binnington is the starting goalie for the Blues, and he has a 4-5-4 record, with 3.34 GAA and .869 SV%. Joel Hofer is the backup goalie and he has a 2-4-0 record, with 4.04 GAA and .867 SV%.

St. Louis Blues @ Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends: November 18, 2025

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

• The Blues have lost nine of their last 10 games against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Maple Leafs have won five of their last six home games against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Blues have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last nine games against opponents on a losing streak.
• The home team has covered the puck line in each of the Maple Leafs’ last four games.
• The Blues have lost the second period in each of their last five road games against Eastern Conference opponents when trailing after the first period.

Why the St. Louis Blues will win

• The underdogs have won eight of the Blues’ last nine games at Scotiabank Arena.
• The Maple Leafs have lost each of their last three games as favorites.
• The Blues have covered the puck line in each of their last seven games as road underdogs following a loss.
• The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight games as home favorites.
• The road team has won the second period in each of the Blues’ last five games.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Blues’ last 10 games as underdogs following a home loss have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Each of the Maple Leafs’ last nine home games have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Blues’ last six games following a home loss.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in eight of the Maple Leafs’ last nine games.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• John Tavares has scored at least one goal in each of the Maple Leafs’ last four home games.
• Morgan Rielly has recorded at least one point in each of the Maple Leafs’ last six games as favorites.
• William Nylander has recorded at least one assist in each of his last eight appearances with the Maple Leafs as home favorites.
• William Nylander has recorded a point in each of his last 13 appearances – longest active streak in the league.

St. Louis Blues Player Prop Facts

• Jordan Kyrou has scored a goal in each of his last four appearances against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Robert Thomas has recorded at least one assist in six of his last seven appearances against the Maple Leafs.
• Pavel Buchnevich has recorded at least one point in seven of his last eight appearances against the Maple Leafs.
• Dylan Holloway has a career average of 1.0 goals per game against the Maple Leafs – highest against any opponent.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 31st in the league for goals against per game this season (3.79).
• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 4th in the league for goals per game this season (3.53).
• The St. Louis Blues rank 32nd in the league for goals against per game this season (3.84).
• The St. Louis Blues rank 30th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (70.83%).

Blues vs Maple Leafs Prediction

Both teams are tied 5-5 in their last 10 meetings and over is 5-2-2 in their last 7 meetings.

In this Blues vs Maple Leafs Prediction, the Leafs are coming as -125 home favorites. The Leafs have more points this season and have 7 home wins while the Blues have just 3 wins on the road. Toronto is better both offensively and defensively, also having a better penalty kill and better goaltending. They have been struggling lately, but this is a perfect bounce-back spot against an inferior Blues squad. Take the Leafs on the moneyline in this one.