Bruins vs Lightning Prediction 10/13/25 NHL Picks Today

The Tampa Bay Lightning and Boston Bruins meet Monday in NHL action at TD Garden. Here’s a Bruins vs Lightning Prediction. This article will include a Bruins vs Lightning Pick.

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning lost to the Senators and Devils, and they play the Capitals next. The Lightning haven’t lost 4 straight games dating back to the playoffs.

The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 3.5 goals per game and are scoring on 33.3 percent of their power play opportunities. Nikita Kucherov leads Tampa Bay with 2 goals, Brayden Point has 3 assists, and Jake Guentzel has 6 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 5 goals per game and are killing 87.5 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has allowed 9 goals on 62 shots faced.

Boston Bruins Betting Preview

The Boston Bruins beat the Blackhawks and Sabres, and they play the Golden Knights next. The Bruins are in need of a big road win after losing seven of their last 10 games.

The Boston Bruins are averaging 3.33 goals per game and are scoring on 18.2 percent of their power play opportunities. Elias Lindholm leads Boston with 2 goals, David Pasternak has 3 assists and Fraser Minten has 6 shots on goal. Defensively, the Boston Bruins are allowing 1.67 goals per game and are killing 100 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Jeremy Swayman has allowed 2 goals on 58 shots faced, while Joonas Korpisalo has given up 3 goals on 24 shots.

Why the Boston Bruins will win

• The Lightning have lost each of their last four games as favorites.
• The Bruins have won three of their last four games as underdogs.
• The Bruins have covered the puck line in each of their last 10 day games.
• The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight games.
• The Lightning have lost the third period in seven of their last eight games.

Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win

• The Bruins have lost nine of their last 10 games against opponents on a losing streak.
• The road team has won six of the Lightning’s last seven games.
• The road team has covered the puck line in six of the Lightning’s last seven games.
• The Bruins have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five day games at TD Garden following a win.
• The Bruins have lost the third period in nine of their last 10 games as underdogs following a home win.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Bruins’ last seven home games following a home win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Nine of the Lightning’s last 10 games against Atlantic Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Eleven of the last 14 day games between two teams from the Atlantic Division have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3’ market has hit in each of the Lightning’s last eight day games.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in seven of the Bruins’ last eight day games at TD Garden.

Boston Bruins Player Prop Facts

• Morgan Geekie has scored a goal in each of the Bruins’ last six games as underdogs.
• Morgan Geekie has recorded at least one point in each of the Bruins’ last 13 games as underdogs.
• David Pastrnak has recorded at least one assist in each of the Bruins’ last seven games as underdogs.
• Elias Lindholm ranks T2nd in the league for Power Play Goals (2) this season.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

• Brayden Point has scored at least one goal in eight of the Lightning’s last 10 day games.
• Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one point in 13 of his last 14 appearances in day games.
• Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in 13 of his last 14 appearances in day games.
• Nikita Kucherov ranks T2nd in the league for multi-goal game (1) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Boston Bruins rank T1st in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (100.00%).
• The Boston Bruins rank T3rd in the league for goals against per game this season (1.67).
• The Tampa Bay Lightning rank T30th in the league for goals against per game this season (5.00).
• The Tampa Bay Lightning rank T5th in the league in power play percentage this season (33.33%).

Bruins vs Lightning Prediction

The Lightning have been a mess defensively dating back to last year’s playoffs, and I doubt an early start time on the road is going to fix things. This line is showing too much respect toward the Lightning, and I’m not buying it. The Bruins are off to a great start at both ends of the ice and are usually a tough out at home. Also, the home team has won 7 of the last 10 games between the Lightning and Bruins. I’ll take a shot with the home dog on early Monday.