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Bruins vs Lightning Prediction 3/15/25 NHL Picks Today

Tampa Bay Lightning (37-23-5) vs. Boston Bruins (30-29-8)
March 15, 2025 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Boston Bruins 150 / Tampa Bay Lightning -180; Over/Under: 5.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Tampa Bay Lightning and Boston Bruins meet Saturday in NHL action at the TD Garden. Here’s a Bruins vs Lightning Prediction. This article will include a Bruins vs Lightning Pick.

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning lost to the Hurricanes and Flyers, and they play the Flyers, Stars, and Utah next. The Lighting hopes to avoid four straight losses for the first time since December 29 – January 5.


The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 3.49 goals per game and are scoring on 26.1 percent of their power play opportunities. Brayden Point leads Tampa Bay with 32 goals, Nikita Kucherov has 64 assists and Brandon Hagel has 186 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 2.69 goals per game and are killing 81.8 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has allowed 115 goals on 1,422 shots faced, and Jonas Johansson has given up 45 goals on 431 shots.

Boston Bruins Betting Preview

The Boston Bruins lost to the Senators, beat the Panthers, and they play the Sabres, Golden Knights, and Sharks next. The Bruins need a win after losing nine of their last 12 games.

The Boston Bruins are averaging 2.71 goals per game and are scoring on 15 percent of their power play opportunities. David Pastrnak leads Boston with 34 goals, Pavel Zacha has 27 assists and Elias Lindholm has 122 shots on goal. Defensively, the Boston Bruins are allowing 3.12 goals per game and are killing 77 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Jeremy Swayman has allowed 139 goals on 1,347 shots faced, while Joonas Korpisalo has given up 57 goals on 546 shots.

Why the Boston Bruins will win

  • The Lightning have lost each of their last five games as road favorites after coming off a shootout.
  • The Bruins have won four of their last five games as home underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • The Bruins have covered the puck line in each of their last 10 home games against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six road games after coming off a shootout.
  • The Bruins have won the third period in each of their last four night games against the Lightning at TD Garden when leading after the second period.

Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win

  • The Bruins have lost each of their last six night games against opponents on a losing streak.
  • The Lightning have won three of their last four night games against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • The Lightning have covered the puck line in each of their last three road games against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • The Lightning have won the third period in nine of their last 10 night games.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Boston Bruins rank 29th in the league in power play percentage this season (15.08%).
  • The Boston Bruins rank 25th in the league for goals per game this season (2.72).
  • The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 2nd in the league for goals per game this season (3.49).
  • The Tampa Bay Lightning rank T5th in the league in power play percentage this season (26.09%).

Bruins vs Lightning Injury Report

Nikita Kucherov is questionable for the Lightning.

The Bruins will be without Hampus Lindholm and Charlie McAvoy.

Bruins vs Lightning Prediction

Just when it looked like the Lightning were making one of their runs heading into the postseason, they drop three straight games and allowed four goals in each loss. The Lightning have seen 15 of their 23 losses this season come on the road. This hasn’t been a good season for the Bruins, but you usually don’t get them with prices like this at home. The Bruins have seen 19 of their 30 wins come on their home ice. Also, the Bruins have outscored the Lightning 10-2 in the two meetings this season. The Lightning should be favored, but the value is with the Bruins and the big plus money at home. I’ll take a shot with the home dog.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Boston Bruins +150

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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