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Bruins vs Penguins Prediction 1/11/26 NHL Picks Today

Pittsburgh Penguins (21-13-9) vs. Boston Bruins (24-19-2)
January 11, 2026 5:00 pm EDT
The Line: Boston Bruins 102 / Pittsburgh Penguins -122; Over/Under: 6.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Pittsburgh Penguins and Boston Bruins meet Sunday in NHL action at the TD Garden. Here’s a Bruins vs Penguins Prediction. This article will include a Bruins vs Penguins Pick.

Pittsburgh Penguins Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Devils, lost to the Flames, and they play the Lightning next. The Penguins have won 6 of their last 7 games.

The Pittsburgh Penguins are averaging 3.23 goals per game and are scoring 29.1 percent of their power play opportunities. Sidney Crosby leads Pittsburgh with 24 goals, Erik Karlsson has 29 assists, and Bryan Rust has 104 shots on goal. Defensively, the Pittsburgh Penguins are allowing 3 goals per game and are killing 81.5 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Arturs Silovs has allowed 61 goals on 534 shots faced, while Tristan Jarry has given up 36 goals on 396 shots.

Boston Bruins Betting Preview

The Boston Bruins beat the Flames and Rangers, and they play the Red Wings next. The Bruins have won 4 of their last 5 games.

The Boston Bruins are averaging 3.31 goals per game and are scoring on 25.8 percent of their power play opportunities. Morgan Geekie leads Boston with 25 goals, David Pasternak has 35 assists and Viktor Arvidsson has 83 shots on goal. Defensively, the Boston Bruins are allowing 3.22 goals per game and are killing 78.9 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Jeremy Swayman has allowed 88 goals on 895 shots faced, while Joonas Korpisalo has given up 50 goals on 446 shots.

Why the Boston Bruins will win

  • The underdogs have won each of the Penguins’ last four games.
  • The Penguins have lost seven of their last eight night games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Bruins have covered the puck line in 12 of their last 13 night games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
  • The Penguins have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last five games as favorites on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Bruins have won the third period in each of their last eight games against Metropolitan Division opponents when leading after the second period.

Why the Pittsburgh Penguins will win

  • The Penguins have won each of their last five games against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The Bruins have lost each of their last seven Sunday night games.
  • The road team has covered the puck line in each of the last four games between the Penguins and Bruins.
  • The Bruins have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four night games following a win.
  • The Penguins have won the first period in each of their last five night games.

Total Goals Facts

  • Ten of the Bruins’ last 11 home night games following a home win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Each of the Penguins’ last five night games against the Bruins following a home loss have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Bruins’ last nine home games.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in seven of the Penguins’ last eight games against Eastern Conference opponents.

Boston Bruins Player Prop Facts

  • David Pastrnak has scored at least one goal in four of his last five appearances against the Penguins at TD Garden.
  • Elias Lindholm has recorded at least one assist in each of his last six home appearances against Metropolitan Division opponents.

Pittsburgh Penguins Player Prop Facts

  • Sidney Crosby has recorded at least one assist in each of the Penguins’ last four road games.
  • Rickard Rakell has scored at least one goal in four of his last five appearances with the Penguins as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Boston Bruins rank 4th in the league in power play percentage this season (25.76%).
  • The Boston Bruins rank T7th in the league for goals per game this season (3.31).
  • The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 3rd in the league in power play percentage this season (29.06%).
  • The Pittsburgh Penguins have suffered the equal-most losses when leading after Period 2 this season (6).

Bruins vs Penguins Prediction

The Penguins have caught fire over the last couple of weeks, but I can’t justify laying juice with them on the road and on the end of a back to back. The Bruins are coming off two wins, including a victory yesterday over the Rangers, where they scored 10 goals.

The Bruins have won 7 of the last 9 games against the Penguins. The Bruins have played their best hockey comfortably on their home ice. I’d need a more favorable price to side with the Penguins, as the home team usually has the edge when both clubs played the day before. Pretty much a pick em spot or the better price with the Bruins? I’m backing the Bruins at home.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Boston Bruins +102

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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