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Bruins vs Senators Prediction 10/5/26 NHL Picks Today

Ottawa Senators (1-0-0) vs. Boston Bruins (2-1-0)
October 5, 2026 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Boston Bruins -105 / Ottawa Senators -115; Over/Under: 5.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Ottawa Senators and Boston Bruins meet Monday in NHL action at the TD Garden. Here’s a Bruins vs. Senators Prediction. This article will include a Bruins vs. Senators Pick.

Ottawa Senators Betting Preview

The Ottawa Senators beat the Maple Leafs, and they play the Red Wings and Flyers next. The Senators have won 7 of their last 9 regular season games.

The Ottawa Senators are averaging 3 goals per game and are scoring 0 percent of their power play opportunities. Thomas Chabot leads Ottawa with 1 goal, Claude Giroux has 2 assists, and Shane Pinto has 4 shots on goal. Defensively, the Ottawa Senators are allowing 2 goals per game and are killing 75 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Linus Ullmark has allowed 2 goals on 29 shots faced.

Boston Bruins Betting Preview

The Boston Bruins beat the Jets, lost to the Wild, and they play the Mammoth next. The Bruins have won 4 of their last 5 regular season games.

The Boston Bruins are averaging 2.67 goals per game and are scoring on 0 percent of their power play opportunities. JJ Peterka leads Boston with 2 goals, Nikita Zadorov has 2 assists, and David Pastrnak has 13 shots on goal. Defensively, the Boston Bruins are allowing 2.33 goals per game and are killing 57.1 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Jeremy Swayman has allowed 3 goals on 57 shots faced, and Michael DiPietro has given up 3 goals on 29 shots.

Why the Boston Bruins will win

  • The Bruins have won each of their last 10 night games at TD Garden following a road loss.
  • The Senators have lost six of their last eight games as favorites following a road win.
  • The Bruins have covered the puck line in 16 of their last 17 games as underdogs following a road loss.
  • The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in eight of their last nine Monday games as road favorites.
  • The Bruins have won the second period in each of their last five games as underdogs when tied after the first period.

Why the Ottawa Senators will win

  • The Senators have won seven of their last eight night games against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • The Bruins have lost each of their last five home games against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • The Senators have covered the puck line in each of their last 12 night games against the Bruins following a road win.
  • The Bruins have failed to cover the puck line in five of their last six home games against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • The Bruins have lost the third period in each of their last seven games as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents when leading after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

  • Each of the Bruins’ last seven night games against Eastern Conference opponents at TD Garden have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Each of the Senators’ last four night games have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Four of the last five games between teams from the same division have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Senators’ last 14 road games against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Bruins’ last eight home games against Atlantic Division opponents.

Boston Bruins Player Prop Facts

  • Morgan Geekie has scored a goal in each of the Bruins’ last five Monday night games against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • Charlie McAvoy has recorded at least one assist in four of his last five appearances with the Bruins as home underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.

Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts

  • Claude Giroux has scored a goal in each of the Senators’ last five games against the Bruins.
  • Thomas Chabot has recorded an assist in each of his last four appearances against the Bruins.

Bruins vs Senators Injury Report

The Bruins will be without Matthew Poitras.

The Senators will be without Blake Montgomery, Kurtis MacDermid, and Artem Zub. Andre Burakovsky and Jake Sanderson are considered day-to-day.

Bruins vs Senators Prediction

The Bruins are off to a fine start through three games, and it makes them worth a look with the cheap price at home. I also value having three games under their belt already as they’ve had a chance to find a rhythm. However, the Senators are the rested team, and they looked sharp in their debut on the road against the Maple Leafs. The Senators have also won 7 of the last 9 games against the Bruins, which includes scoring 5 or more goals in 5 of the last 7 meetings. The Senators have a field day when they face the Bruins. I’ll lay the low price with the road team.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Ottawa Senators -115

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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