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Canadiens vs Bruins Prediction 12/23/25 NHL Picks Today

Montreal Canadiens (19-12-5) vs. Boston Bruins (20-16-1)
December 23, 2025 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Boston Bruins -120 / Montreal Canadiens 100; Over/Under: 6
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Canadiens vs Bruins Prediction for this NHL game on Tuesday, December 23rd. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Boston Bruins Preview

The Bruins have 41 points this season with a 20-16-1 record, and are 25-12 ATS and 21-16 in over/under. They have a 12-7-1 home record and a 8-9-0 road record and are sitting 4th in the Atlantic Division. They are coming off a 2-6 home loss to the Senators, and their previous three games were a 4-5 home shootout loss against the Canucks, a 1-3 home loss against the Oilers, and a 4-1 home win against the Mammoth.

Offensively, the Bruins are averaging 3.19 goals per game and are scoring 25.7% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.22 goals per game and are killing 79.6% of their opponent’s power plays.

Morgan Geekie leads the Bruins with 39 points and 25 goals, while David Pastrnak leads the team in assists with 25. Jeremy Swayman is the starting goalie for the Bruins, and he has a 14-9-1 record, with 2.78 GAA and .906 SV%. Joonas Korpisalo is the backup goalie and he has a 6-7-0 record, with 3.63 GAA and .880 SV%.

Montreal Canadiens Preview

The Canadiens have 43 points this season with a 19-12-5 record, and are 19-17 ATS and 22-10 in over/under. They have a 10-9-1 home record and a 9-3-4 road record and are sitting 2nd in the Atlantic Division. They are coming off a 3-4 road shootout loss to the Penguins, and their previous three games were a 4-0 home win against the Penguins, a 4-1 home win against the Blackhawks, and a 1-4 home loss against the Flyers.

Offensively, the Canadiens are averaging 3.19 goals per game and are scoring 25.8% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.31 goals per game and are killing 77.6% of their opponent’s power plays.

Nick Suzuki leads the Canadiens with 40 points and 30 assists, while Cole Caufield leads the team in goals with 17. Jakub Dobes is the starting goalie for the Canadiens, and he has a 12-5-3 record, with 2.90 GAA and .894 SV%. Jacob Fowler is the backup goalie and he has a 2-1-1 record, with 2.49 GAA and .915 SV%.

Montreal Canadiens @ Boston Bruins Betting Trends: December 23, 2025

 

Why the Boston Bruins will win

  • The Bruins have won each of their last nine home games against the Canadiens.
  • The Canadiens have lost each of their last eight night games at TD Garden.
  • The Bruins have covered the puck line in each of their last nine home games against the Canadiens.
  • The Canadiens have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last eight night games at TD Garden.
  • The Bruins have won the first period in each of their last six home games against the Canadiens.

Why the Montreal Canadiens will win

  • The Canadiens have won each of their last three games as underdogs after coming off overtime.
  • The Bruins have lost five of their last six games as favorites following a loss.
  • The Canadiens have covered the puck line in each of their last seven road games against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The Bruins have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight games as favorites following a home loss.
  • The Canadiens have won the third period in five of their last six road games when trailing after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

  • Each of the Bruins’ last six night games against the Canadiens following a home loss have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Each of the Canadiens’ last six road games following a shootout loss have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Each of the last three games between two teams from the Atlantic Division have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Canadiens’ last 13 road games following a shootout loss.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Bruins’ last nine games as favorites.

Boston Bruins Player Prop Facts

  • Morgan Geekie has scored at least one goal in each of the Bruins’ last four games as favorites.
  • David Pastrnak has recorded at least one assist in each of his last eight Tuesday appearances.
  • Morgan Geekie ranks 1st amongst qualified players for shooting percentage (27.2%) this season.

Montreal Canadiens Player Prop Facts

  • Cole Caufield has scored at least one goal in each of the Canadiens’ last four games against the Bruins.
  • Nick Suzuki has recorded at least one assist in seven of the Canadiens’ last eight games against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • Cole Caufield ranks T1st in the league for Game Winning Goals (5) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Boston Bruins rank 7th in the league in power play percentage this season (25.69%).
  • The Boston Bruins rank 1st in the league in penalty minutes this season (486).
  • The Montreal Canadiens rank 6th in the league in power play percentage this season (25.77%).
  • The Montreal Canadiens rank 8th in the league for goals per game this season (3.19).

Canadiens vs Bruins Prediction

In their previous meeting earlier this season, the Bruins won 3-2 on the road and are 8-2 in their last 10 meetings.

In this Canadiens vs Bruins Prediction, the Bruins are coming as -118 home favorites. Both teams have similar overall records this season, but the Bruins have been very strong at home and have been struggling lately, with a 1-4 record in their last 5 games. The Canadiens have also been unstable lately so I see no value on either side. Both teams are averaging 6.38 goals per game combined, while allowing 6.53 goals per game combined defensively. They are also on the top-7 of the league in power play percentage, so I expect a high-scoring affair. Take the over 6 goals in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Free Pick: Over 6

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