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Canadiens vs Lightning Prediction 1/21/25 NHL Picks Today

Tampa Bay Lightning (25-17-3) vs. Montreal Canadiens (23-19-4)
January 21, 2025 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Montreal Canadiens 130 / Tampa Bay Lightning -155; Over/Under: 6.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Canadiens vs Lightning Prediction for this NHL game on Tuesday, January 21st at the Centre Bell. Let’s take a look at a Montreal Canadiens vs Tampa Bay Lightning pick. 

Lightning Look to Bounce Back

The Lightning are looking to bounce back after they really struggled in the last game. The Lightning scored three goals against the Toronto Maple Leafs but the defense gave up five goals. Nicholas Paul was the top player for the Lightning scoring two goals. Darren Raddysh finished with one goal and one assist. Jonas Johansson saved 23 of the 27 shots that he faced, and that wasn’t good enough. 


The Lightning are averaging 3.64 goals while their defense is giving up 2.82 goals per game. The offense is ranked 1st in the league while the defense is ranked 11th. They are averaging 28.6 shots per game which makes leading the league in goals. Nikita Kucherov has scored 21 goals and added 47 assists so far this season. Getting the start for the Lightning will be Jonas Johansson who sits with a 5-3-1 record overall and they are giving up 3.18 goals per game. 

Why the Lightning Will Beat the Canadiens

  • The Lightning have won seven of their last eight games against the Canadiens following a road loss.
  • The Canadiens have lost nine of their last 11 night games at Bell Centre following a home win.
  • The Lightning have covered the puck line in seven of their last eight road games against the Canadiens following a road loss.
  • The Canadiens have failed to cover the puck line in six of their last eight night games at Bell Centre following a home win.
  • The Canadiens have lost the third period in four of their last five night games following a home win.

Can the Canadiens Build on the Last Game?

The Canadiens faced off against the New York Rangers in the last game, and they were able to secure a 5-4 victory in overtime. They scored a goal in the third period to tie the game and then scored the game-winner in overtime. Brendan Gallagher had a strong game scoring a goal and adding an assist. Jakub Dobes was in goal and saved 24 of the 28 shots that he faced. 

The Canadiens are averaging 3.04 goals, while their defense is giving up 3.33 goals per game. The offense is ranked 12th in the league while the defense is ranked 26th in the league. Nick Suzuki has scored 14 goals and added 33 assists so far this season. There have been seven different players that have put up at least 21 points. Getting the start for the Canadiens in goal will be Jacob Dubes who so far this season has five wins and is giving up only 1.55 goals per game. After this game, Montreal will head on the road for a game against the Detroit Red Wings.

Canadiens vs Lightning Prediction

Yes, overall Dobes has been good for the Lightning, but in the last game he really struggled, and that is going to be an issue again here. The Lightning’s offense is averaging 3.64 goals per game and they are going to have no issue running up the score here. The Canadiens offense is going to have another awful game and the Lightning will end up getting the job done. Back the Lightning on the puck line. 

Shane Mickle's Free Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5

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Shane Mickle

Sports is about all Shane knows in this life! He has a passion for sports and writing, which makes working for Sportschatplace a perfect job for him! If you find him cheering for a team it's usually a Minnesota team, or the Kansas Jayhawks!

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