Canadiens vs Lightning Prediction 12/9/25 NHL Picks Today

The Tampa Bay Lightning and Montreal Canadiens meet Tuesday in NHL action at the Bell Centre. Here’s a Canadiens vs Lightning Prediction. This article will include a Canadiens vs Lightning Pick.

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning lost to the Islanders and Maple Leafs, and they play the Devils next. The Lightning have lost 4 straight games.

The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 3.03 goals per game and are scoring on 15.7 percent of their power play opportunities. Brandon Hagel leads Tampa Bay with 17 goals, Nikita Kucherov has 22 assists, and Jake Guentzel has 78 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 2.59 goals per game and are killing 87 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has allowed 43 goals on 509 shots faced, while Jonas Johansson has given up 27 goals on 272 shots.

Montreal Canadiens Betting Preview

The Montreal Canadiens beat the Maple Leafs, lost to the Blues, and they play the Penguins next. The Canadiens have won 5 of their last 8 games.

The Montreal Canadiens are averaging 3.21 goals per game and are scoring 25.6 percent of their power play opportunities. Cole Caufield leads Montreal with 16 goals, Nick Suzuki has 24 assists and Juraj Slafkovsky has 58 shots on goal. Defensively, the Montreal Canadiens are allowing 3.46 goals per game and are killing 77.5 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Jakub Dobes has given up 47 goals on 429 shots faced, and Sam Montembeault has allowed 46 goals on 330 shots.

Why the Montreal Canadiens will win

• The Lightning have lost seven of their last eight night games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Canadiens have won nine of their last 11 home games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight night games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Canadiens have covered the puck line in each of their last three games following a home loss.
• The favorites have won the first period in each of the Canadiens’ last four games at Bell Centre.

Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win

• The underdogs have won each of the Lightning’s last five games.
• The Canadiens have lost five of their last six games as favorites.
• The Canadiens have failed to cover the puck line in 16 of their last 17 games as favorites against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Lightning have covered the puck line in each of their last seven games as underdogs.
• The Lightning have won the third period in nine of their last 10 games against the Canadiens when trailing after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

• Seven of the Canadiens’ last eight games as favorites against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Four of the Lightning’s last five games have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Four of the last five games between teams from the same division have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Canadiens’ last 11 home games.
• The ‘Over 2.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in three of the Lightning’s last four road games against the Canadiens.

Montreal Canadiens Player Prop Facts

• Nick Suzuki has scored at least one goal in each of the Canadiens’ last six Tuesday games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Nick Suzuki has recorded at least one assist in each of the Canadiens’ last 10 games as home favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Nick Suzuki has recorded at least one point in each of the Canadiens’ last 14 games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Cole Caufield ranks T2nd in the league for multi-goal games (5) this season.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

• Nikita Kucherov has scored a goal in five of his last six appearances against the Canadiens.
• Victor Hedman has recorded an assist in each of his last six appearances after playing the previous day.
• Jake Guentzel has recorded at least one point in each of his last six appearances against the Canadiens.
• Nikita Kucherov is the only player in the league to have recorded 2+ points in five or more consecutive appearances this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Montreal Canadiens rank 29th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.46).
• The Montreal Canadiens rank 4th in the league in power play percentage this season (25.64%).
• The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 1st in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (86.96%).
• The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 5th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.59).

Canadiens vs Lightning Prediction

The Lightning are the better team, and they’ve won 7 of the last 10 games against the Habs, but they’re in awful form right now. The Lightning have lost 4 straight games and have been shutout in back-to-back games. The Canadiens have earned points in 6 of their last 10 games and have recent efforts where the offense has looked sharp. If that continues and the Lightning keep having issues finding the back of the net, this game could get ugly. The price is cheap. I’ll side with the Canadiens on their home ice.