Canadiens vs Senators Prediction 1/17/26 NHL Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Canadiens vs Senators Prediction for this NHL game on Saturday, January 17^th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Ottawa Senators Preview

The Senators have 49 points this season with a 22-19-5 record, and are 17-29 ATS and 27-19 in over/under. They have a 11-9-3 home record and a 11-10-2 road record and are sitting 8th in the Atlantic Division. They are coming off a 8-4 road win over the Rangers, and their previous three games were a 2-1 home win over the Canucks, a 3-2 home loss to the Panthers, and a 8-2 road loss to the Avalanche.

Offensively, the Senators are averaging 3.22 goals per game and are scoring 22.7% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.33 goals per game and are killing 72.4% of their opponent’s power plays.

Tim Stutzle leads the Senators with 47 points, also leading the team in goals with 20, adding a team-high 27 assists. Linus Ullmark is the starting goalie for the Senators, and he has a 14-8-5 record, with 2.95 GAA and .881 SV%. Leevi Merilainen is the backup goalie and he has a 8-10 record, with 3.37 GAA and .868 SV%.

Montreal Canadiens Preview

The Canadiens have 59 points this season with a 26-15-7 record, and are 27-21 ATS and 29-18 in over/under. They have a 13-10-1 home record and a 13-5-6 road record and are sitting 3rd in the Atlantic Division. They are coming off a 5-3 road loss to the Sabres, and their previous three games were a 3-2 road overtime loss to the Capitals, a 6-3 home win over the Canucks, and a 4-0 home loss to the Red Wings.

Offensively, the Canadiens are averaging 3.33 goals per game and are scoring 23.4% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.23 goals per game and are killing 79.0% of their opponent’s power plays.

Nick Suzuki leads the Canadiens with 52 points, also leading the team in assists with 37, while Cole Caufield leads the team in goals with 22. Jakub Dobes is the starting goalie for the Canadiens, and he has a 14-5-3 record, with 3.01 GAA and .888 SV%. Samuel Montembeault is the backup goalie and he has a 8-6-2 record, with 3.35 GAA and .874 SV%.

Montreal Canadiens @ Ottawa Senators Betting Trends: January 17, 2026

Why the Ottawa Senators will win

• The Canadiens have lost each of their last five games at Canadian Tire Centre against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Senators have won six of their last seven home games against the Canadiens.
• The Senators have covered the puck line in each of their last three games against the Canadiens.
• The Canadiens have failed to cover the puck line in three of their last four games at Canadian Tire Centre against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Senators have won the third period in each of their last four home games against Atlantic Division opponents when leading after the second period.

Why the Montreal Canadiens will win

• The Canadiens have won seven of their last eight games as underdogs following a road loss.
• The Senators have lost each of their last four games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Canadiens have covered the puck line in each of their last 12 games as road underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight home games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Canadiens have won the third period in each of their last four road games against Eastern Conference opponents when trailing after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the last five games between the Canadiens and Senators have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the Canadiens’ last four night games at Canadian Tire Centre have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Four of the last five games between teams from the same division have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in each of the last nine games between the Canadiens and Senators.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Canadiens’ last nine road games against the Senators.

Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts

• Drake Batherson has scored a goal in each of the Senators’ last four games against the Canadiens.
• Jake Sanderson has recorded an assist in seven of the Senators’ last eight games.
• Brady Tkachuk has recorded at least two shots in each of his last 28 appearances – longest active streak in the league.

Montreal Canadiens Player Prop Facts

• Cole Caufield has scored at least one goal in each of his last six Saturday appearances against the Senators.
• Ivan Demidov has recorded an assist in each of the Canadiens’ last five games as road underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Juraj Slafkovsky has scored two goals against the Senators this season – equal-most against any opponent.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Ottawa Senators rank 30th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (72.39%).
• The Ottawa Senators rank T27th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.33).
• The Montreal Canadiens rank 5th in the league for goals per game this season (3.33).
• The Montreal Canadiens rank 8th in the league in power play percentage this season (23.36%).

Canadiens vs Senators Prediction

Both teams are tied 1-1 in their two meetings this season, with both games having taken place in Montreal. The Canadiens won by 4-3 in overtime and the Senators won 5-2. The Canadiens are 4-2 in their last 6 meetings against the Senators.

In this Canadiens vs Senators Prediction, the Senators are coming as -130 home favorites. The Canadiens have more points and overall wins than the Senators but they are 1-3 in their last 4 games, while the Senators have back-to-back wins. Both teams average 6.55 goals per game combined and their two meetings this season had 7 total goals each. The over is 8-2 in their last 10 meetings, so take the over 6.5 in this one.