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Canadiens vs Senators Prediction 3/18/25 NHL Picks Today

Ottawa Senators (36-25-5) vs. Montreal Canadiens (32-27-7)
March 18, 2025 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Montreal Canadiens +120 / Ottawa Senators -142; Over/Under: 5.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Ottawa Senators and the Montreal Canadiens meet Tuesday in NHL action from the Bell Centre. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Canadiens vs Senators Prediction.

Matchup History

The Montreal Canadiens have won both meetings so far this season, starting with a 4-1 win back on October 12th, 2024 at home before a 5-2 win in Ottawa on February 22nd, 2025. The wins snapped Montreal’s 9-game win streak in this head-to-head matchup.


Ottawa Senators Recap

The Ottawa Senators will be out to add on to their 4-2 win over Toronto last time out to improve to 36-25-5 on the year. After this game, Ottawa will head home for a game with the Colorado Avalanche.

Senators Win 6 In A Row

Tim Stutzle leads the Senators with 68 points including 20 goals and 48 assists while Brady Tkachuk has 53 points with a team-high 27 goals and 26 assists. Drake Batherson has 54 points with 18 goals and 36 assists and Claude Giroux has 14 goals and 29 assists while Jake Sanderson also has 46 points with 7 goals and 39 assists so far this season. Linus Ullmark is 18-11-3 with a 2.66 GAA and a .912 save percentage in goal for Ottawa so far this year while Mads Sogaard is 1-1 with a 5.24 GAA and a .800 save percentage and Anton Forsberg is 9-10-1 with a 2.78 GAA and an .896 save percentage as well this season. Leevi Merilainen has also gone 8-3-1 with a 1.99 GAA and a .925 save percentage this season.

Why the Ottawa Senators will win

    • The Senators have won each of their last six games.
    • The Canadiens have lost five of their last six games at Bell Centre against opponents on a winning streak.
    • The road team has covered the puck line in seven of the Canadiens’ last eight games.
    • The Canadiens have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last three games against opponents on a winning streak.

Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts

  • Brady Tkachuk has scored a goal in four of the Senators’ last five road games.
  • Tim Stutzle has recorded at least one assist in each of the Senators’ last six road games against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • Brady Tkachuk has recorded at least one point in each of his last nine appearances.
  • Tim Stutzle has scored two goals against the Canadiens this season – equal-most against any opponent.

Montreal Canadiens Recap

The Montreal Canadiens come into this game looking to add on to their 3-1 win over the Florida Panthers last time out to improve to 32-27-7 on the year. After this game, Montreal will meet the Islanders, Avs, and Blues.

Canadiens Looking For Consistency

Nick Suzuki has a team-high 69 points with 20 goals and a team-high 49 assists while Cole Caufield has 61 points with a team-high 33 goals. Mike Matheson has 23 assists while Juraj Slafkovsky has 41 points with 27 assists and Lane Hutson has 48 assists as well on the year. Brendan Gallagher has 25 points with 15 goals while Jake Evans has 29 points with 12 goals and 17 assists. In goal for Montreal, Sam Montembeault has gone 24-21-4 with a 2.83 GAA and a .901 save percentage while Cayden Primeau is 2-3-1 with a 4.70 GAA and an .836 save percentage this season. Jakub Dobes is also 6-3-2 with a 2.71 GAA and a .907 save percentage as well on the year.

Why the Montreal Canadiens will win

  • The Senators have lost each of their last four games as road favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • The Canadiens have won each of their last four games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the Canadiens’ last 10 games.
  • The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in 10 of their last 11 games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.

Montreal Canadiens Player Prop Facts

  • Cole Caufield has scored a goal in each of the Canadiens’ last four games against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • Lane Hutson has recorded at least one assist in seven of the Canadiens’ last eight home games against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • Juraj Slafkovsky has recorded at least one point in 14 of the Canadiens’ last 15 home games against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • Lane Hutson ranks 1st amongst rookies for average time on ice (22:20) this season.

Total Goals Facts

  • Seven of the Senators’ last eight road games have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Six of the Canadiens’ last seven games against the Senators following a home win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Each of the last three games between teams from the same division has gone UNDER the total goals line.

Canadiens vs Senators Prediction

I’m leaning towards Montreal here. Two teams that are red-hot right now and Ottawa is the hotter of the pair, but despite their long-term head-to-head success between the two, it’s Montreal that’s had the success this season. I think this is a spot where home ice makes the difference here. I’m still not 100% sold on Ottawa on the road, and think this could be a good spot for the Canadiens to make up ground in the Eastern Conference race. Give me Montreal.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Montreal Canadiens +120

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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