Capitals vs Blues Prediction 2/27/25 NHL Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Blues vs Capitals prediction for this NHL game on Thursday, February 27th at Capital One Arena in Washington, DC. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

St. Louis Blues Betting Preview

The St. Louis Blues (27-26-6, 33-26 ATS) went through a rough period in late January and early February, losing six of seven games, but responded with three wins in the next four. The Blues defeated the Blackhawks, Avalanche, and Kraken, while lost to the Jets during that stretch.  At the moment, St. Louis is 6th in the Central Division and is closer to the bottom of the division than the top.

The Blues score 2.78 goals per game on average (24th), while they concede 3.00 GPG (18th). This season, Robert Thomas and Jordan Kyrou lead the team with 47 points apiece. Dylan Holloway contributes 42 points (17 G and 25 A), while Pavel Buchnevich has 39 points (12 G and 27 A).

Jordan Binnington (17-19-4) is expected to start for the Blues at the goal on Thursday against the Capitals. The 31-year-old is allowing 2.82 goals per game this year with a .899 SV% and three shutouts.

Washington Capitals Betting Preview

The Washington Capitals (38-12-8, 36-22 ATS) won four of the previous six games but did lose the most recent one to the Calgary Flames at home, 3-1. It was surprising seeing the Capitals score just a goal against Calgary after combining for 15 in wins over the Penguins and Oilers. Washington is currently on a five-game home stand and will play five of the next six at Capital One Arena. The Capitals are atop the Metropolitan Division with 84 points, 14 ahead of the Canes and Devils.

The Capitals average 3.66 goals per game this year (1st), while they allow 2.52 GPG (3rd). Dylan Strome is the team’s most productive player with 59 points (18 G and 41 A). Aliaksei Protas has 50 points (23 G and 27 A), while Pierre-Luc Dubois chips in with 48 points (13 G and 35 A).

Logan Thompson (25-3-5) will probably take his place between the sticks for the Capitals against the Blues on Thursday. The 28-year-old is conceding 2.28 goals per contest this season with a .919 SV% and three shutouts.

Why the Capitals will beat the Blues

• The Capitals have won each of their last six games following a home loss.
• The Blues have lost each of their last five road games following a home win.
• The Capitals have covered the puck line in each of their last 10 games following a home loss.
• The Blues have failed to cover the puck line in five of their last six games as underdogs following a home win.
• The Capitals have won the third period in each of their last nine games following a home loss.

Why Blues will beat the Capitals

• The Capitals have lost each of their last five games as home favorites against opponents on a winning streak.
• The underdogs have won each of the Capitals’ last five games at Capital One Arena.
• The Capitals have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last seven games as home favorites against opponents on a winning streak.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in seven of the Capitals’ last eight games.
• The Blues have won the second period in five of their last six games against Metropolitan Division opponents when leading after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

• Seven of the Capitals’ last eight home night games following a home loss have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Five of the Blues’ last six games against Metropolitan Division opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Ten of the last 11 Thursday night games between teams from different conferences have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Capitals’ last 10 games as favorites against the Blues.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Blues’ last nine games at Capital One Arena.

Blues vs Capitals Prediction

After scoring just a goal in their latest game, I expect the best-scoring team in the NHL to respond with at least four against the Blues here. The Capitals scored 4+ in seven of the previous eight games, while they managed to achieve that in five of the past six at home. On the other hand, three of St. Luis’ last four games produced 6+ goals, which occurred in five of their previous seven on teh road. When it comes to H2H duels, the teams combined for +5 goals in six of the past seven; Washington won 8-1 earlier in the season. I am going with Over.