Capitals vs Canadiens Prediction 11/20/25 NHL Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Capitals vs Canadiens Prediction for this NHL game on Thursday, November 20^th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Montreal Canadiens Preview

The Canadiens have 23 points this season with a 10-6-3 record, and are 8-11 ATS and 13-4-2 in over/under. They have a 5-4-1 home record and a 5-2-2 road record and are sitting 3rd in the Atlantic Division. They are coming off a 4-3 shootout road loss to the Blue Jackets and will face the Maple Leafs and Mammoth next.

Offensively, the Canadiens are averaging 3.32 goals per game and are scoring 21.43% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.37 goals per game and are killing 78.46% of their opponent’s power plays.

Nick Suzuki leads Montreal with 21 points, 4 goals and 17 assists, while Cole Caufield follows with 20 points, 13 goals and 7 assists. Sam Montembeault is the starting goalie for the Canadiens, and he has a 4-5-1 record, with 3.56 GAA and .858 SV%. Jakub Dobes is the backup goalie and he has a 6-1-2 record, with 2.71 GAA and .898 SV%.

Washington Capitals Preview

The Capitals have 22 points this season with a 10-8-2 record, and are 10-10 ATS and 8-10 in over/under. They have a 6-4-1 home record and a 4-4-1 road record and are sitting 5th in the Metropolitan Division. They are coming off a 7-4 home win over the Oilers and will face the Lightning and Blue Jackets next.

Offensively, the Capitals are averaging 3.00 goals per game and are scoring 13.80% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.55 goals per game and are killing 72.30% of their opponent’s power plays.

Tom Wilson leads Washington with 20 points, 11 goals and 9 assists, while John Carlson follows with 17 points, 4 goals and 13 assists. Logan Thompson is the starting goalie for the Capitals, and he has a 7-5-1 record, with 1.85 GAA and .925 SV%. Charlie Lindgren is the backup goalie and he has a 3-3-1 record, with 3.16 GAA and .893 SV%.

Washington Capitals @ Montreal Canadiens Betting Trends: November 20, 2025

Why the Montreal Canadiens will win

• The Capitals have lost seven of their last eight games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Canadiens have won seven of their last eight games against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Capitals have failed to cover the puck line in nine of their last 10 road games following a win.
• The Canadiens have covered the puck line in four of their last five games after coming off a shootout.
• The Capitals have lost the second period in each of their last seven games as road underdogs when tied after the first period.

Why the Washington Capitals will win

• The Canadiens have lost each of their last six games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• The underdogs have won four of the Canadiens’ last five games at Bell Centre.
• The Canadiens have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six games as favorites.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in 11 of the Canadiens’ last 12 games.
• The Canadiens have lost the second period in seven of their last eight home games when leading after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Capitals’ last seven road games against opponents on a losing streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the Canadiens’ last six games after coming off overtime have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Ten of the last 11 Thursday night games have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Canadiens’ last 14 games as favorites against opponents on a winning streak.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Capitals’ last seven road games against opponents on a losing streak.

Montreal Canadiens Player Prop Facts

• Nick Suzuki has scored a goal in seven of the Canadiens’ last eight games as home favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• Cole Caufield has recorded at least one assist in seven of his last eight appearances with the Canadiens as home favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• Nick Suzuki has recorded at least one point in each of the Canadiens’ last 12 games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Cole Caufield ranks T1st in the league for multi-goal games (5) this season.

Washington Capitals Player Prop Facts

• Brandon Duhaime has scored the first goal in each of the Capitals’ last three road games.
• Jakob Chychrun has recorded at least one assist in each of the Capitals’ last four games.
• Alex Ovechkin has scored at least one goal in six of the Capitals’ last seven games as road underdogs against the Canadiens.
• Alex Ovechkin has recorded at least one point in 15 of his last 16 road appearances after playing less than 20 minutes the previous day.
• Brandon Duhaime has scored six career goals against the Canadiens – most against any opponent (including playoffs).

Matchup/League Facts

• The Montreal Canadiens rank T6th in the league for goals per game this season (3.32).
• The Montreal Canadiens rank 25th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.37).
• The Washington Capitals rank 30th in the league in power play percentage this season (13.79%).
• The Washington Capitals rank 5th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.55).

Capitals vs Canadiens Prediction

The Caps are 7-2 in their last 9 meetings against the Canadiens and the under is 4-2 in their last 6 meetings.

In this Capitals vs Canadiens Prediction, the Canadiens are coming as -150 home favorites. The Caps are on the second leg of a back-to-back and while both teams have exactly 10 wins this season, the Canadiens are struggling lately with a 1-6 record in their last 7 games. The Caps are also 3-1 in their last 4 visits in Montreal and I like them as road dogs against a struggling Canadiens team. Take the Capitals on the moneyline for plus money.