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Capitals vs Flames Prediction 3/9/26 NHL Picks Today

Calgary Flames (25-30-7) vs. Washington Capitals (31-26-7)
March 9, 2026 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Washington Capitals -192 / Calgary Flames 160; Over/Under: 5.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Calgary Flames and Washington Capitals meet Monday in NHL action at the Capital One Arena. Here’s a Capitals vs. Flames prediction. This article will include a Capitals vs. Flames pick.

Calgary Flames Betting Preview

The Calgary Flames lost to the Senators, beat the Hurricanes, and play the Rangers next. The Flames have lost 4 of their last 5 games.

The Calgary Flames are averaging 2.47 goals per game and are scoring 16.1 percent of their power-play opportunities. Joel Farabee leads Calgary with 15 goals, Nazem Kadri has 29 assists, and Mikael Backlund has 151 shots on goal. Defensively, the Calgary Flames are allowing 3 goals per game and are killing 81.9 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Dustin Wolf has allowed 125 goals on 1,216 shots faced, and Devin Cooley has given up 46 goals on 598 shots.

Washington Capitals Betting Preview

The Washington Capitals lost to the Mammoth and Bruins, and they play the Flyers next. The Capitals have lost 3 straight games.

The Washington Capitals are averaging 3.11 goals per game and are scoring 16.1 percent of their power play opportunities. Alex Ovechkin leads Washington with 24 goals, John Carlson has 36 assists, and Jakob Chychrun has 198 shots on goal. Defensively, the Washington Capitals are allowing 2.92 goals per game and are killing 78.6 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Logan Thompson has given up 102 goals on 1,172 shots faced, and Charlie Lindgren has allowed 64 goals on 539 shots.

Why the Washington Capitals will win

  • The Capitals have won each of their last 13 Monday home games.
  • The Flames have lost six of their last seven road games following a win.
  • The Capitals have covered the puck line in four of their last five games against the Flames.
  • The Flames have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five road games following a win.
  • The Flames have lost the third period in five of their last six games against Metropolitan Division opponents.

Why the Calgary Flames will win

  • The underdogs have won each of the Flames’ last four games at Capital One Arena.
  • The Capitals have lost each of their last three games.
  • The Flames have covered the puck line in nine of their last 10 road games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
  • The Capitals have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four games.
  • The road team has won the first period in four of the last five games between the Flames and Capitals.

Total Goals Facts

  • Nine of the Flames’ last 10 road games have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Seven of the Capitals’ last eight games have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Flames’ last six night games at Capital One Arena.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in seven of the Capitals’ last eight home games against the Flames.

Washington Capitals Player Prop Facts

  • Alex Ovechkin has scored at least one goal in three of the Capitals’ last four games against the Flames.
  • Tom Wilson has recorded an assist in each of his last six Monday home appearances.
  • Martin Fehervary has recorded two assists against the Flames this season—the most against any opponent.

Calgary Flames Player Prop Facts

  • Victor Olofsson has scored a goal in each of his last three appearances against Metropolitan Division opponents.
  • Martin Pospisil has recorded four shots against the Capitals this season—the most against any opponent.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Washington Capitals rank 28th in the league in power play percentage this season (16.15%).
  • The Washington Capitals rank 8th in the league for shots per game this season (29.0).
  • The Calgary Flames rank 32nd in the league for goals per game this season (2.47).
  • The Calgary Flames rank 29th in the league in power play percentage this season (16.13%).

Capitals vs Flames Prediction

The Flames haven’t found consistent success offensively since the break and now they’re on the road, where they’ve been a mess. The Capitals are coming off a forgettable week but they’re at home, where they’ve won 19 games and they have the offense to make the Flames uncomfortable. Games like this at home against non-contenders for the Capitals if they’re going to stay in the playoff race. There are no excuses for the Caps on Monday night. Give me the Capitals and the PL for max betting value.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Washington Capitals -1.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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