Capitals vs Flyers Prediction 2/25/26 NHL Picks Today
Philadelphia Flyers (25-20-11) vs. Washington Capitals (29-23-7)
February 25, 2026 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Washington Capitals -155 / Philadelphia Flyers 130; Over/Under: 6.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article we will formulate a Capitals vs Flyers prediction for this NHL game on Wednesday, February 25th at Capital One Arena in Washington, DC. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.
Washington Capitals Betting Preview
The Washington Capitals are 29-23-7 this season after they defeated Nashville by a score of 4-2 in their last game. Washington had their lead cut to 3-2 in the third period, but they added a fourth goal to seal the win. The Capitals out shot Nashville by a total of 30-29, won 48.1% of the face-offs, and went 2-6 on the power play in the game. Washington got goals from Dubois, Wilson, and Chychrun (2), while Thompson stopped 27 out of 29 shots, which was a .931 save percentage.
Prior to that game, Washington lost to the Flyers by a score of 4-2, but did beat the Islanders by a score of 4-1 before that. The Capitals have scored 3.19 goals per game and they have allowed 2.92 goals against per game, while also going 16.4% on the power play and 78.9% on the penalty kill this season. Tom Wilson has led Washington with 23 goals and 26 assists, while Alex Ovechkin has added 22 goals and 26 assists. The projected starting goalie for Washington is Logan Thompson, who is 19-16-4 with a 2.45 goals against average and a .912 save percentage this season.
Philadelphia Flyers Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Flyers are 25-20-11 this year after they lost to Ottawa in overtime by a score of 2-1 in their last game. Philadelphia tied the game at one with about one minute left in the third, but they allowed a goal 47 seconds into overtime for the loss. The Flyers were out shot by a total of 27-16, won 45.7% of the face-offs, and went 0-1 on the power play in the game. Philadelphia got their lone goal from Drysdale, while Vladar stopped 25 out of 27 shots, which was a .926 save percentage.
Prior to that game, Philadelphia defeated the Capitals by a score of 4-2, but lost to the Kings by a score of 3-2 before that. The Flyers have lost five of their last six games and they are currently sixth in the Metro standings with 61 points. Philadelphia has scored 2.89 goals per game and they have allowed 3.16 goals against per game, while also going 16.1% on the power play and 79.1% on the penalty kill this season. Travis Konecny has led Philadelphia with 22 goals and 32 assists, while Trevor Zegras has added 20 goals and 29 assists. The projected starting goalie for Philadelphia is Dan Vladar, who is 17-8-6 with a 2.47 goals against average and a .905 save percentage this year.
Why the Washington Capitals will win
- The Flyers have lost each of their last nine games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The home team has won each of the Capitals’ last four games.
- The home team has covered the puck line in each of the Flyers’ last five games.
- The Flyers have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four road games against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The Flyers have lost the second period in each of their last eight games against Eastern Conference opponents when trailing after the first period.
Why the Philadelphia Flyers will win
- The Capitals have lost five of their last six games as favorites following a win.
- The Flyers have won four of their last five games after coming off overtime.
- The Flyers have covered the puck line in eight of their last nine games after coming off overtime.
- The Capitals have failed to cover the puck line in five of their last six games as favorites following a win.
- The Capitals have lost the first period in each of their last four home games against Eastern Conference opponents.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the Flyers’ last six road games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Each of the Capitals’ last four games as favorites following a win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Five of the last six games between two teams from the Metropolitan Division have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in nine of the Flyers’ last 10 road games against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in 16 of the Capitals’ last 17 games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
Washington Capitals Player Prop Facts
- Alex Ovechkin has scored a goal in each of the Capitals’ last six home games against the Flyers.
- Tom Wilson has recorded an assist in each of his last nine appearances with the Capitals as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
- Anthony Beauvillier has recorded at least four shots in each of his last zero appearances – [longest/equal-longest] active streak in the league.
Philadelphia Flyers Player Prop Facts
- Owen Tippett has recorded an assist in each of the Flyers’ last four road games against the Capitals.
- Trevor Zegras has scored a goal in six of the Flyers’ last eight games as underdogs against Metropolitan Division opponents.
- Carl Grundstrom has recorded at least four shots in each of his last zero appearances – [longest/equal-longest] active streak in the league.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Washington Capitals rank 26th in the league in power play percentage this season (16.38%).
- The Washington Capitals rank 7th in the league for shots per game this season (29.2).
- The Philadelphia Flyers rank 28th in the league in power play percentage this season (16.15%).
- The Philadelphia Flyers rank 30th in the league for power play goals this season (26).
Capitals vs Flyers Prediction
Washington comes into this matchup after winning four of their last five games and they will look for revenge on Philadelphia after their 4-2 loss on February 3rd. The Capitals are 17-10-3 at home this year, while the Flyers are 12-11-4 on the road. Philadelphia has lost five of their last six games, but their last two losses have been in overtime. The Capitals had plenty of momentum going into the break and I think they will get a nice win here. Take Washington to win by at least two goals.