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Capitals vs Lightning Prediction 3/1/25 NHL Picks Today

Tampa Bay Lightning (34-20-4) vs. Washington Capitals (38-13-8)
March 1, 2025 12:30 pm EDT
The Line: Washington Capitals -110 / Tampa Bay Lightning -110; Over/Under: 6.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Tampa Bay Lightning and Washington Capitals meet Saturday in NHL action at the Capital One Arena. Here’s a Capitals vs Lightning Prediction. This article will include a Capitals vs Lightning Pick.

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Flames and Oilers, and they play the Panthers, Blue Jackets, and Sabres next. The Lighting have won seven straight games and are making the Atlantic division race interesting.


The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 3.57 goals per game and are scoring on 27.2 percent of their power play opportunities. Brayden Point leads Tampa Bay with 31 goals, Nikita Kucherov has 59 assists and Brandon Hagel has 168 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 2.66 goals per game and are killing 80.7 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has allowed 100 goals on 1,283 shots faced, and Jonas Johansson has given up 40 goals on 369 shots.

Washington Capitals Betting Preview

The Washington Capitals lost to the Flames and Blues, and they play the Senators, Rangers, and Red Wings next. The Capitals hope to avoid three straight losses for the first time this season.

The Washington Capitals are averaging 3.56 goals per game and are scoring 23.2 percent of their power play opportunities. Alex Ovechkin leads Washington with 30 goals, Dylan Strome has 41 assists and Tom Wilson has 131 shots on goal. Defensively, the Washington Capitals are allowing 2.49 goals per game and are killing 82.6 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Charlie Lindgren has allowed 71 goals on 684 shots faced, and Logan Thompson has given up 75 goals on 930 shots.

Why the Washington Capitals will win

  • The Capitals have won each of their last eight day games at Capital One Arena following a home loss.
  • The Lightning have lost three of their last four games at Capital One Arena.
  • The Capitals have covered the puck line in each of their last 11 Saturday day games.
  • The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last seven games at Capital One Arena following a home win.
  • The Capitals have won the third period in each of their last 10 games against Eastern Conference opponents when trailing after the second period.

Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win

  • The Lightning have won each of their last seven games.
  • The Capitals have lost six of their last seven day games against opponents on a winning streak.
  • The Lightning have covered the puck line in each of their last six games.
  • The Capitals have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last three day games at Capital One Arena against opponents on a winning streak.
  • The Lightning have won the third period in each of their last four games following a home win.

Washington Capitals Player Prop Facts

  • Tom Wilson has scored at least one goal in each of the Capitals’ last four day games.
  • Dylan Strome has recorded at least one point in each of the Capitals’ last 10 day games at Capital One Arena.
  • Dylan Strome has recorded at least one assist in each of the Capitals’ last nine day games at Capital One Arena.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

  • Brayden Point has scored at least one goal in each of the Lightning’s last five day games.
  • Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one point in 20 of his last 21 appearances.
  • Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in each of his last nine appearances in day games.

Capitals vs Lightning Injury Report

The Washington Capitals don’t have any players listed on their injury report.

The Tampa Bay Lightning don’t have any players listed on their injury report.

Capitals vs Lightning Prediction

The Washington Capitals have been one of the top teams in the league, and they’re 18-6-6 on their home ice. You’re not going to get the Capitals at prices like this at home often. With that said, the Caps aren’t having a great week and could lose three straight games for the first time. The Lightning are the hottest team in the league with seven straight games. The Lightning haven’t lost a game since February 1. Pick ’em price, I’m going to ride the hot hand and side with the Lightning.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning -110

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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