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Capitals vs Oilers Prediction 11/19/25 NHL Picks Today

Edmonton Oilers (9-8-4) vs. Washington Capitals (9-8-2)
November 19, 2025 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Washington Capitals -115 / Edmonton Oilers -105; Over/Under: 5.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Capitals vs Oilers prediction for this NHL game on Wednesday, November 19th at Capital One Arena in Washington, DC. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Washington Capitals Betting Preview

The Washington Capitals are 9-8-2 this season after they defeated Los Angeles by a score of 2-1 in their last game. Washington had their lead cut to 2-1 in the second period, but they locked down defensively and got the low scoring win. The Capitals were out shot by a total of 31-25, won 46.8% of the face-offs, and went 0-2 on the power play in the game. Washington got goals from Ovechkin and Roy, while Lindgren stopped 30 out of 31 shots, which was a .968 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Washington lost to the Devils by a score of 3-2 and the Panthers by a score of 6-3. The Capitals have lost four of their last six games and they are currently last in the Metro standings with 20 points. Washington has scored 2.79 goals per game and they have allowed 2.47 goals against per game, while also going 14.0% on the power play and 72.6% on the penalty kill this season. Tom Wilson has led Washington with nine goals and nine assists, while Dylan Strome has added five goals and 11 assists. The projected starting goalie for Washington is Logan Thompson, who is 7-5-1 with a 1.85 goals against average and a .925 save percentage this season. 

Edmonton Oilers Betting Preview

The Edmonton Oilers are 9-8-4 this year after they lost to Buffalo by a score of 5-1 in their last game. Edmonton tied the game at one in the second period, but allowed two in the second and two in the third for the ugly loss. The Oilers out shot Buffalo by a total of 33-28, won 56.1% of the face-offs, and went 0-1 on the power play in the game. Edmonton got their lone goal from Roslovic, while Skinner stopped 23 out of 27 shots, which was an .852 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Edmonton defeated the Hurricanes by a score of 4-3, but lost to the Blue Jackets by a score of 5-4 before that. The Oilers have lost two of their last three games and they are currently fifth in the Pacific standings with 22 points. Edmonton has scored 3.00 goals per game and they have allowed 3.48 goals against per game, while also going 30.8% on the power play and 81.5% on the penalty kill this season. Connor McDavid has led Edmonton with nine goals and 21 assists, while Leon Draisaitl has added 13 goals and 11 assists. The projected starting goalie for Edmonton is Stuart Skinner, who is 7-5-3 with a 2.86 goals against average and an .889 save percentage this year. 

Why the Washington Capitals will win

  • The Oilers have lost five of their last six night games at Capital One Arena.
  • The Capitals have won eight of their last 10 night games at Capital One Arena following a win.
  • The Capitals have covered the puck line in each of their last four night games at Capital One Arena following a home win.
  • The Oilers have failed to cover the puck line in 14 of their last 18 games.
  • The Oilers have lost the second period in each of their last eight games.

Why the Edmonton Oilers will win

  • The Capitals have lost three of their last four games as favorites following a win.
  • The underdogs have won four of the last six games between the Oilers and Capitals.
  • The underdogs have covered the puck line in nine of the Oilers’ last 10 games.
  • The Capitals have failed to cover the puck line in five of their last six games as favorites.
  • In four of the Oilers’ last five games at Capital One Arena, the team leading after the first period has won the second period.

Total Goals Facts

  • Fourteen of the Capitals’ last 15 night games against Pacific Division opponents at Capital One Arena have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Each of the Oilers’ last four games as underdogs following a road loss have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Oilers’ last eight games as underdogs.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Capitals’ last seven games following a win.

Washington Capitals Player Prop Facts

  • Alex Ovechkin has scored a goal in each of the Capitals’ last three home games.
  • Tom Wilson has recorded at least one point in each of the Capitals’ last six games as favorites against Pacific Division opponents.
  • Jakob Chychrun has recorded at least one assist in each of the Capitals’ last four home games.

Edmonton Oilers Player Prop Facts

  • Leon Draisaitl has scored at least one goal in each of the Oilers’ last five road games against the Capitals.
  • Connor McDavid has recorded at least one point in each of the Oilers’ last 11 road games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
  • Connor McDavid has recorded at least one assist in each of his last seven appearances with the Oilers as underdogs against Metropolitan Division opponents.
  • Leon Draisaitl has scored the first goal in each of the Oilers’ last three games against the Capitals.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Washington Capitals rank T3rd in the league for goals against per game this season (2.47).
  • The Washington Capitals rank 30th in the league in power play percentage this season (14.04%).
  • The Edmonton Oilers rank 3rd in the league in power play percentage this season (30.77%).
  • The Edmonton Oilers rank 28th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.48).

Capitals vs Oilers Prediction 

Edmonton comes into this matchup struggling to show consistency, as it appears they have problems being focused for each game. The Oilers are 4-7-2 on the road this year, while the Capitals are 5-4-1 at home. Washington is last in the Metro standings and while they play elite defense, they are only scoring 2.79 goals per game. The Capitals should find some open ice in this game though, as Edmonton has allowed at least four goals in three of their last five games. I don’t love either team in this contest, so I will back the under, as Washington has gone under 5.5 goals in four of their last five. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Under 5.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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