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Capitals vs Oilers Prediction 2/23/25 NHL Picks Today

Edmonton Oilers (34-18-4) vs. Washington Capitals (37-11-8)
February 23, 2025 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: Washington Capitals 102 / Edmonton Oilers -122; Over/Under: 5.5
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In this article, we will formulate an Oilers vs Capitals prediction for this NHL game on Sunday, February 23rd at the Capital One Arena in Washington DC. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Edmonton Oilers Betting Preview

The Edmonton Oilers (34-18-4, 20-36 ATS) lost four of the previous six games, including two straight defeats to the Avalanche and Flyers. The Oilers dropped to the 2nd place in the Pacific Division, right behind the Vegas Golden Knights, and will be looking to avoid the third consecutive loss; they experienced such a skid just once this season.


Edmonton did have a 2-1 lead in the latest road game against Philly, but the Flyers destroyed the Oilers in the next two periods to secure a 6-3 W. Leon Draisaitl led the Oilers with a goal and assists in this loss. For the season, Draisaitl is the Oilers’ top performer with 85 points (41 G and 44 A). Connor McDavid contributes with 71 points (22 G and 49 A), while Evan Bouchard has 44 points (9 G and 35 A).

Calvin Pickard (14-5-0) is expected to start between the sticks against Washington on Sunday. The 32-year-old is allowing 2.52 goals per game this season with a .901 SV% and no shutouts.

Washington Capitals Betting Preview

The Washington Capitals (37-11-8, 35-21 ATS) tied the season-high eight goals in an emphatic 8-3 road win over the Pittsburgh Penguins. The Capitals won three of the previous four games and are atop the Metropolitan Division with 12 points ahead of the Carolina Hurricanes.

Washington’s offense exploded in the second period of the recent win against Pittsburg, scoring five goals and adding two more in the final 20 minutes to clinch a comfortable win. Pierre-Luc Dubois impressed with three assists; Jakob Chychrun scored a pair of goals, while Taylor Raddysh, Matt Roy, and Rasmus Sandin chipped in with two points each. This season, Dylan Strome is the team’s most valuable player with 55 points (17 G and 38 A). Aliaksei Protas and Pierre-Luc Dubois have 47 points apiece, while Alex Ovechkin and Tom Wilson also play a vital role with 43 points apiece. 

Charlie Lindgren (12-9-3) will likely get the start for the Capitals against the Oilers. The 31-year-old is surrendering 2.63 goals per contest this season with a .902 SV% and one shutout.

Why Washington will beat Edmonton

  • The Capitals have won each of their last six games as underdogs against Pacific Division opponents.
  • The Oilers have lost four of their last five games as road favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
  • The Capitals have covered the puck line in each of their last seven games as home underdogs.
  • The Oilers have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six games.
  • The Capitals have won the third period in each of their last nine games.

Total Goals Facts

  • Each of the Capitals’ last eight games against Pacific Division opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Five of the Oilers’ last six games as road favorites following a road loss have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Capitals’ last nine games as underdogs against opponents on a losing streak.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Oilers’ last six games following a road loss.

Washington Capitals Player Prop Facts

  • Alex Ovechkin has recorded at least one point in each of his last 16 appearances after playing less than 20 minutes the previous day.
  • Dylan Strome has recorded at least one assist in each of the Capitals’ last eight day games at Capital One Arena.
  • Alex Ovechkin has scored at least one goal in each of his last eight appearances on the second leg of a back-to-back.

Edmonton Oilers Player Prop Facts

  • Leon Draisaitl has scored at least one goal in each of the Oilers’ last six games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
  • Connor McDavid has recorded at least one assist in each of his last eight Sunday road appearances.
  • Connor McDavid has recorded at least one point in each of his last nine appearances against the Capitals.

Oilers vs Capitals Prediction

Washington is one of the best home teams this season; the Capitals have a 20-7-2 record at Capital One Arena, and even though Edmonton plays well on the road (16-8-2), I am leaning toward the hosts in this one. The Caps are in better form at the moment and scored 4+ goals in each of their last six games. 

The Oilers, on the other hand, allowed 3+ goals in four of their previous five games, and I think the home side’s offense will find a way to score at least four goals and secure the win. Edmonton is a slight favorite in this clash, but Washington has what it takes to get a W.

Oliver Zivic's Free Pick: Capitals ML

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Oliver Zivic

Professional journalist and expert bettor with 20+ years of experience. I cover Football (soccer), NFL, NBA, NHL, MLB, CFB, and CBB.

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