Capitals vs Penguins Prediction 4/11/26 NHL Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Capitals vs Penguins Prediction for this NHL game on Saturday, April 11^th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Pittsburgh Penguins Preview

The Penguins have 98 points this season with a 41-22-16 record, and are 48-31 ATS and 46-31 in over/under. They have a 20-12-8 home record and a 21-10-8 road record and are sitting 2nd in the Metropolitan Division. They are coming off a 5-2 road win over the Devils, and their previous three games were a 5-2 home win over the Panthers, a 9-4 home win over the Panthers, and a 3-6 road loss to the Lightning.

Offensively, the Penguins are averaging 3.57 goals per game and are scoring 24.6% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.06 goals per game and are killing 81.8% of their opponent’s power plays.

Sidney Crosby leads the Penguins with 74 points and 29 goals, while Erik Karlsson leads the team in assists with 51. Stuart Skinner is the starting goalie for the Penguins, and he has a 23-16-9 record, with 2.89 GAA and .889 SV%. Arturs Silovs is the backup goalie and he has a 19-10-8 record, with 2.99 GAA and .891 SV%.

Washington Capitals Preview

The Capitals have 89 points this season with a 40-30-9 record, and are 41-38 ATS and 36-41 in over/under. They have a 24-11-5 home record and a 16-19-4 road record and are sitting 6th in the Metropolitan Division. They are coming off a 4-0 road win over the Maple Leafs, and their previous three games were a 1-8 road loss to the Rangers, a 6-2 home win over the Sabres, and a 3-7 road loss to the Devils.

Offensively, the Capitals are averaging 3.16 goals per game and are scoring 17.4% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.96 goals per game and are killing 79.8% of their opponent’s power plays.

Alex Ovechkin leads the Capitals with 61 points and 31 goals, while Dylan Strome leads the team in assists with 38. Logan Thompson is the starting goalie for the Capitals, and he has a 29-21-6 record, with 2.47 GAA and .912 SV%. Charlie Lindgren is the backup goalie and he has a 9-8-3 record, with 3.52 GAA and .879 SV%.

Washington Capitals @ Pittsburgh Penguins Betting Trends: April 11, 2026

Why the Pittsburgh Penguins will win

• The Capitals have lost each of their last six day games against opponents on a winning streak.
• The favorites have won each of the Penguins’ last eight games at PPG Paints Arena.
• The favorites have covered the puck line in each of the Penguins’ last six games at PPG Paints Arena.
• The Capitals have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four away games when playing with a rest advantage.
• The Capitals have lost the third period in each of their last 10 road games against Metropolitan Division opponents when trailing after the second period.

Why the Washington Capitals will win

• The Capitals have won each of their last seven games against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Penguins have lost four of their last five games as a favorite when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The Penguins have failed to cover the puck line in nine of their last 10 games as a home favorite when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• Capitals has covered the puck line in each of its last four road matches when playing with a rest advantage against Penguins.
• The Penguins have lost the second period in each of their last six home games against Eastern Conference opponents when trailing after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the last seven day games between the Capitals and Penguins have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Eight of the Capitals’ last nine games as underdogs against opponents on a winning streak have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Eight of the last nine day games between teams from the same division have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Capitals’ last nine road games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• The ‘Over 2.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Penguins’ last four games as home favorites.

Pittsburgh Penguins Player Prop Facts

• Rickard Rakell has scored at least one goal in each of the Penguins’ last four games as home favorites.
• Evgeni Malkin has recorded at least one assist in each of his last 10 appearances with the Penguins as home favorites.
• Benjamin Kindel has recorded two assists against the Capitals this season – equal-most against any opponent.

Washington Capitals Player Prop Facts

• Alex Ovechkin has scored a goal in each of the Capitals’ last five games as road underdogs against the Penguins.
• Dylan Strome has recorded at least one assist in each of the Capitals’ last four games as road underdogs against the Penguins.
• Tom Wilson has scored 14 career goals against the Penguins – equal-most against any opponent (including playoffs).

Matchup/League Facts

• The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 3rd in the league for goals per game this season (3.57).
• The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 6th in the league in power play percentage this season (24.56%).
• The Washington Capitals rank 27th in the league in power play percentage this season (17.45%).
• The Washington Capitals rank 30th in the league in short handed goals allowed this season (11).

Capitals vs Penguins Prediction

The Penguins won their previous meeting against the Capitals this season by 5-3 at home but both teams are tied 4-4 in their last 8 meetings.

In this Capitals vs Penguins Prediction, the Penguins are coming as -130 home favorites. The Penguins just clinched their playoff place while the Capitals are still on the run for a wild card spot and both teams have been playing good hockey lately. The Penguins are 5-1 in their last 6 games and the Caps 5-2 in their last 7, but have lost two of their last three road games. I will not pick a side in this one but instead take the over 6.5 as both teams are a whopping 14-2 to the over in their last 16 games combined and their previous meeting this season had 8 total goals.