Capitals vs Sabres Prediction 3/30/25 NHL Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Capitals vs Sabres prediction for this NHL game on Sunday, March 30th at Capital One Arena in Washington, DC. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup. 

Washington Capitals Betting Preview

The Washington Capitals are 47-16-9 this year after they lost to Minnesota by a score of 4-2 in their last game. Washington led 2-1 after the first period, but they allowed the last three goals in the game for the loss. The Capitals outshot Minnesota by a total of 30-21, won 58.9% of the face-offs, and went 0-2 on the power play in the game. Washington got goals from Duhaime and Roy, while Lindgren stopped 17 out of 20 shots in the game. 

Prior to that loss, the Capitals lost to the Jets by a score of 3-2, but did beat the Panthers by a score of 6-3 before that. Washington has won four of their last six games and they are currently first in the Metro standings with 103 points. Washington has scored 3.61 goals per game and they have allowed 2.57 goals against per game, while also going 21.5% on the power play and 82.7% on the penalty kill this season. Dylan Strome has led Washington with 23 goals, 45 assists, and 124 shots on goal, while Aliaksei Protas has added 29 goals, 35 assists, and 133 shots on goal. Logan Thompson is 31-4-6 with a 2.32 goals against average and a .917 save percentage this year. 

Buffalo Sabres Betting Preview

The Buffalo Sabres are 30-36-6 this season after they lost to Philadelphia by a score of 7-4 in their last game. Buffalo led 3-2 in the second period, but they allowed the next four goals and never got back into the game. The Sabres were outshot by a total of 32-21, won 45.1% of the face-offs, and went 1-2 on the power play in the game. Buffalo got goals from Peterka, Quinn (2), and Tuch, while UPL stopped 25 out of 32 shots in the game. 

Prior to that loss, the Sabres defeated the Penguins by a score of 7-3 and the Senators by a score of 3-2. Buffalo has won three of their last four games and they are currently last in the Metro standings with 66 points. Buffalo has scored 3.15 goals per game and they have allowed 3.49 goals against per game, while also going 17.6% on the power play and 76.7% on the penalty kill this season. Tage Thompson has led Buffalo with 36 goals, 27 assists, and 207 shots on goal, while JJ Peterka has added 23 goals, 34 assists, and 149 shots on goal. James Reimer is 5-6-2 with a 2.71 goals against average and a .908 save percentage this year. 

Why the Capitals will beat the Sabres

• The home team has won each of the last seven games between the Sabres and Capitals.
• The Sabres have lost each of their last six games as road underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The home team has covered the puck line in 10 of the Sabres’ last 11 games.
• The Sabres have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four road games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Capitals have won the third period in each of their last nine games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents when trailing after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

• Ten of the Sabres’ last 11 day games against opponents on a losing streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Ten of the Capitals’ last 12 day games at Capital One Arena following a road loss have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Sabres’ last 12 games following a road loss.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Capitals’ last seven games as favorites against the Sabres.

Washington Capitals Player Prop Facts

• Tom Wilson has scored at least one goal in seven of his last eight appearances with the Capitals as home favorites against the Sabres.
• Aliaksei Protas has recorded at least one point in each of the Capitals’ last eight games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Aliaksei Protas has recorded at least one assist in each of the Capitals’ last six games as home favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Alex Ovechkin has scored the last goal in three of the Capitals’ last four day games.

Buffalo Sabres Player Prop Facts

• JJ Peterka has scored a goal in each of the Sabres’ last four road games.
• Alex Tuch has recorded at least one point in eight of the Sabres’ last nine games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• Ryan McLeod has recorded at least one assist in each of the Sabres’ last four road games against Metropolitan Division opponents.

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Capitals vs Sabres Prediction 

Washington comes into this matchup looking to snap a two game losing streak, but they will be back on home ice here. The Capitals are 24-7-6 at home this year, while the Sabres are 11-22-3 on the road. Buffalo has played better over their last four games, but they will be on a back to back in this game and allowed seven goals to the Flyers on Saturday. This Buffalo team has been a disaster on the road this year and I think they are going to struggle to keep this game close. Take Washington -1.5 here.