Capitals vs Senators Prediction 10/25/25 NHL Picks Today

The Ottawa Senators and Washington Capitals meet Saturday in NHL action at the Capital One Arena. Here’s a Capitals vs Senators Prediction. This article will include a Capitals vs Senators Pick.

Ottawa Senators Betting Preview

The Ottawa Senators lost to the Oilers, beat the Flyers, and they play the Bruins next. The Senators have lost 5 of their last 7 games.

The Ottawa Senators are averaging 2.88 goals per game and are scoring 21.4 percent of their power play opportunities. Shane Pinto leads Ottawa with 7 goals, Jake Sanderson has 4 assists and Tim Stutzle has 24 shots on goal. Defensively, the Ottawa Senators are allowing 4.25 goals per game and are killing 62.1 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Linus Ullmark has allowed 24 goals on 180 shots faced, while Leevi Merilainen has given up 7 goals on 26 shots.

Washington Capitals Betting Preview

The Washington Capitals beat the Kraken and Blue Jackets, and they play the Stars next. The Capitals have won 6 of their last 7 games.

The Washington Capitals are averaging 3.25 goals per game and are scoring 22.2 percent of their power play opportunities. Tom Wilson leads Washington with 5 goals, Dylan Strome has 8 assists, and Jakob Chychrun has 25 shots on goal. Defensively, the Washington Capitals are allowing 1.75 goals per game and are killing 75 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Logan Thompson has given up 9 goals on 144 shots faced, and Charlie Lindgren has allowed 4 goals on 59 shots.

Why the Washington Capitals will win

• The Capitals have won each of their last seven night games at Capital One Arena following a road win.
• The Senators have lost six of their last seven road games following a win.
• The Capitals have covered the puck line in each of their last seven night games at Capital One Arena following a road win.
• The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight games following a win.
• The Capitals have won the third period in each of their last five games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents when tied after the second period.

Why the Ottawa Senators will win

• The underdogs have won four of the Senators’ last five games at Capital One Arena.
• The Capitals have lost three of their last four games as favorites on the second leg of a back-to-back.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in 12 of the Senators’ last 13 games.
• The Capitals have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four games as favorites on the second leg of a back-to-back.
• The Capitals have lost the third period in 10 of their last 11 games against Eastern Conference opponents when trailing after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Capitals’ last nine home games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Each of the Senators’ last eight games against the Capitals following a home win have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Capitals’ last seven home games.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Senators’ last four road games against opponents on a winning streak.

Washington Capitals Player Prop Facts

• Alex Ovechkin has scored at least one goal in 10 of his last 11 appearances after playing the previous day.
• Dylan Strome has recorded at least one assist in each of the Capitals’ last five games.
• Alex Ovechkin has recorded at least one point in each of his last 19 appearances after playing less than 20 minutes the previous day.
• Dylan Strome has recorded an assist in each of his last five appearances – longest active streak in the league.

Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts

• Shane Pinto has scored at least one goal in four of the Senators’ last five games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Tim Stutzle has recorded at least one assist in 10 of the Senators’ last 12 games as road underdogs.
• Shane Pinto has recorded at least one point in seven of his eight previous appearances against the Capitals.
• Shane Pinto ranks T1st in the league for Goals (7) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Washington Capitals rank 1st in the league for goals against per game this season (1.75).
• The Washington Capitals rank 1st in the league in save percentage this season (.936).
• The Ottawa Senators rank 31st in the league for goals against per game this season (4.25).
• The Ottawa Senators rank 31st in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (62.07%).

Capitals vs Senators Prediction

I considered the Senators and the plus money, but we’re not getting enough bang for our buck. While the Capitals are on the end of a back-to-back, they’ve been winning and winning convincingly. The Caps are locked in on both ends of the ice, and I’d need more of a favorable price to bet against them. The Senators have had defensive issues this season, and the Capitals aren’t a team you want to face when you can’t keep the puck out of the net. I’ll gladly take the cheap price with the Caps at home.