Capitals vs Senators Prediction 3/3/25 NHL Picks Today

The Ottawa Senators and the Washington Capitals meet Monday in NHL action from the Capital One Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Capitals vs Senators Prediction.

Matchup History

These two teams have split the first two meetings so far this season, with Ottawa getting a 5-4 OT win in Ottawa back on January 30^th, 2025. The win for Ottawa made it five straight meetings without back-to-back winners in this head-to-head matchup.

Ottawa Senators Recap

The Ottawa Senators come into this game looking to add on to their 5-3 win over San Jose last time out to sit at 30-25-4 on the year. After this game, Ottawa will head on the road for a game against Chicago.

Senators Snap Five-Game Losing Streak

Tim Stutzle leads the Senators with 61 points including 19 goals and 42 assists while Brady Tkachuk has 45 points with a team-high 22 goals and 23 assists. Drake Batherson has 47 points with 16 goals and 31 assists and Claude Giroux has 11 goals and 26 assists while Josh Norris has 31 points with 19 goals and 12 assists. Adam Gaudette also has 22 points with 16 goals this season. Linus Ullmark is 13-11-2 with a 2.67 GAA and a .912 save percentage in goal for Ottawa so far this year while Mads Sogaard is 1-1 with a 5.24 GAA and a .800 save percentage and Anton Forsberg is 8-10-1 with a 2.82 GAA and an .8954 save percentage as well this season. Leevi Merilainen has also gone 8-3-1 with a 1.99 GAA and a .925 save percentage this season.

Why the Ottawa Senators will win

• The Senators have won each of their last six games as road underdogs against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Capitals have lost each of their last four games as home favorites.
• The Senators have covered the puck line in each of their last six games as road underdogs against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Capitals have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four games as home favorites.

Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts

• David Perron has scored a goal in four of his last five appearances at Capital One Arena.
• Tim Stutzle has recorded at least one assist in each of the Senators’ last 10 games.
• Tim Stutzle has recorded at least one point in each of the Senators’ last 11 games.
• Joshua Norris has recorded two assists against the Capitals this season – equal-most against any opponent.

Washington Capitals Recap

The Washington Capitals come into this game looking to bounce back from a 3-1 loss to Tampa Bay last time out to sit at 38-14-8 on the year. After this game, the Capitals will head on the road for a game against the New York Rangers.

Capitals Drop Three In A Row

Dylan Strome leads the Capitals with 59 points including 18 goals and a team-high 41 assists while Alex Ovechkin has 48 points with 31 goals and 17 assists and Connor McMichael’s added 45 points with 21 goals and 24 assists. Aliaksei Protas has 50 points with 23 goals and 27 assists while Tom Wilson has 45 points and John Carlson has 39 points with Wilson logging 26 goals and 19 assists and Carlson adding 35 assists. Pierre-Luc Dubois also has 49 points with 35 assists of his own. Jakob Chychrun has 39 points with 17 goals and 22 assists as well on the year. In goal for Washington, Logan Thompson has gone 25-4-5 with a 2.27 GAA and a .919 save percentage while Charlie Lindgren is 13-10-3 with a 2.70 GAA and an .898 save percentage this season.

Why the Washington Capitals will win

• The Capitals have won eight of their last nine games against the Senators following a loss.
• The Senators have lost each of their last five road games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Capitals have covered the puck line in eight of their last nine night games following a home loss.
• The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in eight of their last 10 night games against Metropolitan Division opponents.

Washington Capitals Player Prop Facts

• Jakob Chychrun has scored at least one goal in each of the Capitals’ last four games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Jakob Chychrun has recorded at least one point in each of the Capitals’ last 13 games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Nicklas Backstrom has recorded at least one assist in eight of his last nine appearances with the Capitals as favorites against the Senators.
• Dylan Strome has scored two goals against the Senators this season – equal-most against any opponent.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Senators’ last nine road games against Metropolitan Division opponents has gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Eight of the Capitals’ last nine home night games following a home loss have gone OVER the total goals line.

Capitals vs Senators Prediction

I’m on the Capitals in this game. I still think that the Capitals are the far superior team at the end of the day, and Ottawa just has not been the same team away from home so far this season. Washington’s been one of the most consistent teams in the NHL regardless of home or away this season, and I think that the Senators get rung up here. Give me Washington in this one at home.