Capitals vs Stars Prediction 10/28/25 NHL Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Capitals vs Stars Prediction for this NHL game on Tuesday, October 28^th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Dallas Stars Preview

The Stars have 11 points this season with a 5-3-1 record, and are 3-6 ATS and 4-5 in over/under. They have a 2-2-1 home record and a 3-1 road record and are sitting 4th in the Central Division. They are coming off a 3-2 road win over the Predators and will face the Lightning, Panthers and Oilers next.

Offensively, the Stars are averaging 3.00 goals per game and are scoring 32.26% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.33 goals per game and are killing 67.86% of their opponent’s power plays.

Mikko Rantanen leads Dallas with 11 points, 4 goals and 7 assists, while Wyatt Johnston follows with 10 points, 6 goals and 4 assists. Jake Oettinger is the starting goalie for the Stars, and he has a 4-2-1 record, with 2.98 GAA and .899 SV%. Casey DeSmith is the backup goalie and he has a 1-1-0 record, with 3.55 GAA and .863 SV%.

Washington Capitals Preview

The Capitals have 12 points this season with a 6-3 record, and are 4-5 ATS and 3-4 in over/under. They have a 3-3 home record and a 3-0 road record and are sitting 3rd in the Metropolitan Division. They are coming off a 1-7 home loss to the Senators and will face the Islanders, Sabres and Blues next.

Offensively, the Capitals are averaging 3.00 goals per game and are scoring 20.69% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.33 goals per game and are killing 66.67% of their opponent’s power plays.

Tom Wilson leads Washington with 11 points, 5 goals and 6 assists, while Dylan Strome follows with 10 points, 2 goals and 8 assists. Logan Thompson is the starting goalie for the Capitals, and he has a 5-1-0 record, with 1.50 GAA and .938 SV%. Charlie Lindgren is the backup goalie and he has a 1-2-0 record, with 3.72 GAA and .882 SV%.

Washington Capitals @ Dallas Stars Betting Trends: October 28, 2025

Why the Dallas Stars will win

• The Stars have won six of their last seven games against the Capitals.
• The Capitals have lost four of their last five road games against Central Division opponents.
• The Stars have covered the puck line in each of their last five games as favorites following a road win.
• The Capitals have failed to cover the puck line in five cof their last six games as road underdogs.
• The Capitals have lost the third period in eight of their last nine road games when trailing after the second period.

Why the Washington Capitals will win

• The Capitals have won each of their last 10 road games following a home loss.
• The Stars have lost three of their last four games as home favorites.
• The Capitals have covered the puck line in each of their last 12 Tuesday games as underdogs.
• The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last seven games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• The Stars have lost the first period in each of their last four games.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Capitals’ last six night games against opponents on a winning streak have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Seven of the last eight night games between the Capitals and Stars have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Stars’ last four games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in 13 of the Capitals’ last 14 games following a loss.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

• Thomas Harley has recorded at least one assist in seven of the Stars’ last eight Tuesday games.
• Tyler Seguin has scored at least one goal in four of his last five appearances against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• Roope Hintz has recorded at least one point in each of the Stars’ last seven games against the Capitals.

Washington Capitals Player Prop Facts

• Dylan Strome has recorded at least one assist in five of the Capitals’ last six games.
• Dylan Strome has scored at least one goal in each of the Capitals’ last four games against the Stars.
• Dylan Strome has recorded at least one point in each of the Capitals’ last five games against the Stars.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Dallas Stars rank 4th in the league in power play percentage this season (32.26%).
• The Dallas Stars rank 27th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (67.86%).
• The Washington Capitals rank 1st in the league for goals against per game this season (2.33).
• The Washington Capitals rank 28th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (66.67%).

Capitals vs Stars Prediction

Both teams were tied 1-1 last season, with each one winning at home. The Stars won by 3-1 and the Caps by 3-2. The Stars are 6-1 in their last 7 meetings against the Caps, having won their last three meetings in Dallas. Under is 7-2 in their last 9 meetings.

In this Capitals vs Stars Prediction, the Stars are coming as -130 home favorites. Dallas has back-to-back wins following a brutal four-game losing streak, but are 1-3 in their last 4 home games. The Caps are 6-2 in their last 8 games, but have been struggling against the Stars, so I will pass on the side. The Caps have the best defense in hockey this season and both goalies have been excellent, allowing 4.47 goals per game combined. Their two meetings last season had 4 and 5 total goals and most of their recent meetings have been low-scoring ones. Take the under 6 in this one.