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Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars Prediction 5-13-24 Picks

Dallas Stars (58-24-10) vs. Colorado Avalanche (55-28-7)
May 13, 2024 9:30 pm EDT
The Line: Colorado Avalanche -135 / Dallas Stars +110; Over/Under: +6.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Dallas Stars and Colorado Avalanche meet Monday in Game 4 West Second Round NHL Playoffs action at the Ball Arena. Here’s a Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars Prediction.

Dallas Stars Betting Preview

The Dallas Stars have won 6 of their last 8 playoff games and have a chance to take a commanding 3-1 series lead. The Stars are 3-1 on the road in these NHL playoffs. The Dallas Stars are averaging 2.8 goals per game and are scoring on 29.2 percent of their power play opportunities. Wyatt Johnston leads Dallas with 5 goals, Miro Heiskanen has 6 assists and Tyler Seguin has 33 shots on goal. Defensively, the Dallas Stars are allowing 2.4 goals per game and are killing 75 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Jake Oettinger has allowed 22 goals on 273 shots faced.

Colorado Avalanche Betting Preview

The Colorado Avalanche need a win to rebound from back to back losses to even up the series at 2-2. The Avalanche are 2-1 at home in these NHL playoffs. The Colorado Avalanche are averaging 4.5 goals per game and are scoring on 33.3 percent of their power play opportunities. Valeri Nichushkin leads Colorado with 9 goals, Cale Makar has 9 assists and Nathan MacKinnon has 34 shots on goal. Defensively, the Colorado Avalanche are allowing 3.38 goals per game and are killing 73.9 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Alexandar Georgiev has allowed 24 goals on 214 shots faced.

Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche Injury Report

The Dallas Stars will be without Jani Hakanpaa and Jerad Rosburg. The Avalanche will be without Jonathan Drouin, Logan O’Connor and Gabriel Landeskog.

Why the Colorado Avalanche will win

  • The Avalanche have won each of their last seven Monday games at Ball Arena.
  • The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight games against opponents on a losing streak.
  • The Avalanche have covered the puck line in four of their last five games as favorites.
  • The Avalanche have won the second period in each of their last six games as favorites following a home loss.

Why the Dallas Stars will win

  • The Stars have won each of their last seven night games following a road win.
  • The Avalanche have lost four of their last five games as home favorites against opponents on a winning streak.
  • The Stars have covered the puck line in each of their last eight road games following a road win.
  • The Avalanche have failed to cover the puck line in eight of their last nine games as favorites against opponents on a winning streak.
  • The Stars have won the third period in seven of their last eight road games against Central Division opponents.

Total Goals Facts

  • Ten of the Avalanche’s last 11 night games against Central Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Six of the last seven night games between two teams from the Central Division have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Eight of the Stars’ last 10 road games against Central Division opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2’ market has hit in each of the last 10 games between the Stars and Avalanche.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Stars’ last nine games as underdogs.

Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars Prediction

The Dallas Stars have been the better, more consistent team this season, and they’ve won 29 games on the road, so I wouldn’t talk you out of being interested in the plus money. The Stars have also had their way with the Avs in the last two games and could have easily won game 1 as well. With that said, the Colorado Avalanche have come up big in these spots time and time again, and they are still 33-10-1 at home this season. Pretty much a must win game for the Avs and I expect a much cleaner effort with a chance to even things up. The price is fair. I’ll lean toward the Avalanche in this spot because of their home dominance.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Colorado Avalanche -135

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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