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Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche prediction 1-4-24 NHL Picks

Dallas Stars (22-10-4) vs Colorado Avalanche (24-11-3)
2024-01-04 20:00:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Dallas Stars -128 / Colorado Avalanche +106 --- Over/Under: 6.5
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The Colorado Avalanche will play the Dallas Stars on Thursday night at the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas. Colorado has won three games in a row, while Dallas has won two of their last three. Let’s take a look at the betting matchup and the Avalanche vs Stars prediction. 

Avalanche Preview

The Colorado Avalanche are 24-11-3 this year after they defeated the Islanders in overtime by a score of 5-4 in their last game. Colorado trailed 3-1 in the second period, but they were able to tie the game in the third period, before winning in overtime. The Avalanche out shot New York by a total of 39-22 and went 2-5 on the power play in the game. Colorado has also defeated San Jose and St. Louis during this three game winning streak. The Avalanche are scoring 3.63 goals per game and they are allowing 3.00 goals against per game, while going 24.5% on the power play and 83.2% on the penalty kill. Nathan MacKinnon has led Colorado with 20 goals, 41 assists, and 169 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Colorado is Alexandar Georgiev, who is 20-8-2 this year with a 2.90 goals against average and a .898 save percentage. 


Stars Preview

The Dallas Stars are 22-10-4 this season after they lost to Montreal by a score of 4-3 in their last game. Dallas trailed 4-1 in the third period, but they were able to score two late goals to nearly complete the comeback. The Stars out shot Montreal by a total of 33-18 and went 0-1 on the power play in the game. Dallas has won five of their last seven games, with wins coming against Chicago (twice), Nashville, Vancouver, and St. Louis. The Stars are scoring 3.58 goals per game and they are allowing 3.06 goals against per game, while going 22.1% on the power play and 85.3% on the penalty kill. Jason Robertson has led Dallas with 12 goals, 25 assists, and 103 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Dallas is Scott Wedgewood, who is 11-3-2 this year with a 3.01 goals against average and a .900 save percentage. 

Dallas Stars Team Facts

The Stars have won 14 of their last 15 night games following a home loss.
The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in 13 of their last 14 games as home favorites against Western Conference opponents.
The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Stars’ last 10 games as home favorites.
The favorites have won the first period in each of the last four games between the Avalanche and Stars.

Colorado Avalanche Team Facts

The Avalanche have won seven of their last eight games following an overtime win.
The home team has covered the puck line in nine of the Avalanche’s last 10 games.
The Avalanche have won the second period in seven of their last eight games following an overtime win.
The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in six of the Avalanche’s last seven games as underdogs.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

Joe Pavelski has scored at least one goal in five of the Stars’ last six games against the Avalanche.
Jason Robertson has recorded at least one point in each of the Stars’ last seven games.
Jason Robertson has recorded at least one assist in each of the Stars’ last four home games against Central Division opponents.
Tyler Seguin has scored two goals against the Avalanche this season – most against any opponent.

Colorado Avalanche Player Prop Facts

Andrew Cogliano has scored a goal in three of the Avalanche’s last four games against the Stars.
Valeri Nichushkin has recorded at least one point in 10 of the Avalanche’s last 11 games.
Nathan MacKinnon has recorded at least one assist in 10 of the Avalanche’s last 11 games.
Nathan MacKinnon ranks 1st in the league for multi-point games (20) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

The Dallas Stars rank T2nd in the league for power play goals against this season (17).
The Dallas Stars rank 31st in the league in penalty minutes this season (267).
The Colorado Avalanche rank 8th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (83.21%).
The Colorado Avalanche rank 1st in the league for Period 3 goals scored per game this season (1.34).

Avalanche vs Stars Betting Prediction

Colorado comes into this game on a three game winning streak and they have allowed one goal in three of their last five games. Dallas has won two of their last three games and they are 12-6-1 at home this season. These two teams have very similar metrics so far this year, but Colorado did win the first meeting between these two teams by a score of 6-3. Dallas is dealing with an injury to Oettinger, so they are relying on their backup goalie right now. The Stars have had some struggles in three of their last four games and are playing a Colorado team that is red hot right now. Take the Avalanche here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Avalanche ML

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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