Dallas Stars vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction 12/21/25 NHL Picks Today

The Toronto Maple Leafs and the Dallas Stars meet Sunday in NHL action from the American Airlines Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Dallas Stars prediction.

Toronto Maple Leafs Recap

The Toronto Maple Leafs come into this game looking to bounce back from their loss at the hands of Nashville on Saturday to sit at 15-14-5 on the year. After this game, Toronto will head home for a game against the Pittsburgh Penguins.

Maple Leafs Drop Back-To-Back Games

Entering the game against Nashville, William Nylander leads the Maple Leafs with 36 points on 11 goals and a team-high 25 assists while John Tavares has 30 points with a team-high 13 goals and 17 assists and Matthew Knies has 29 points with 7 goals and 22 assists. Auston Matthews has 23 points with 14 goals and 9 assists and Morgan Rielly has 23 points with 18 assists. Oliver Ekman-Larsson has 22 points with 16 assists. Anthony Stolarz has gone 6-5-1 with a 3.51 GAA and an .884 save percentage in goal for the Maple Leafs while Joseph Woll is 5-3-1 with a 2.39 GAA and a .927 save percentage. Dennis Hildeby is also 2-4-3 with a 2.85 GAA and a .918 save percentage this season. 

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

• The Maple Leafs have won each of their last six games as road underdogs against the Stars.
• The Stars have lost three of their last five games as favorites against opponents on a losing streak.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the Maple Leafs’ last seven games at American Airlines Center.
• The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five games as favorites against opponents on a losing streak.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• John Tavares has scored a goal in five of the Maple Leafs’ last six games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
• Matthew Knies has recorded at least one assist in each of the Maple Leafs’ last five games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
• Calle Jarnkrok has scored 10 career goals against the Stars – most against any opponent (including playoffs).

Dallas Stars Recap

The Dallas Stars come into this game looking to add on to their 8-3 win over Anaheim last time out to sit at 24-7-5 this season. After this game, Dallas will head on the road for a game against Detroit.

Stars Win 3 In A Row

Mikko Rantanen leads the Stars in scoring with 48 points along with 14 goals and a team-high 34 assists while Jason Robertson has 43 points with a team-high 22 goals and 21 assists this season. Wyatt Johnston has 41 points with 19 goals and 22 assists and Miro Heiskanen has 32 points with 25 assists as well this season. Roope Hintz has 30 points with 11 goals and 19 assists and Tyler Seguin has 17 points with 7 goals and 10 assists. Jake Oettinger has gone 15-6-2 with a 2.56 GAA and a .907 save percentage in goal for Dallas while Casey DeSmith has gone 9-1-3 with a 2.20 GAA and a .920 save percentage so far this season.

Why the Dallas Stars will win

• The Stars have won each of their last 13 Sunday home games.
• The Maple Leafs have lost four of their last five games.
• The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last five games.
• The Stars have covered the puck line in five of their last six games against Atlantic Division opponents.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

• Wyatt Johnston has scored at least one goal in 10 of the Stars’ last 11 Sunday home games.
• Mikko Rantanen has recorded at least one assist in seven of the Stars’ last eight home games.
• Wyatt Johnston ranks 1st in the league for Power Play Goals (13) this season.

Total Goals Facts

• Seven of the Maple Leafs’ last eight games as underdogs on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the Stars’ last four home games have gone UNDER the total goals line.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Dallas Stars Prediction

I’m on the Stars here. The Maple Leafs just don’t look right at the moment and I don’t think that the Christmas Break could come sooner for Toronto right now. Dallas on the other side, is playing some of the best hockey in the league right now, and I just don’t want to step in front of Dallas right now with Toronto in their current form. Give me the Stars in this one.