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Detroit Red Wings vs Ottawa Senators Prediction 1-7-25 NHL Picks

Ottawa Senators (19-17-2) vs. Detroit Red Wings (17-18-4)
January 7, 2025 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Detroit Red Wings +105 / Ottawa Senators -125; Over/Under: 5.5
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In this article we will formulate a Detroit Red Wings vs Ottawa Senators prediction for this NHL game on Tuesday, January 7th at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup. 

Detroit Red Wings Betting Preview

The Detroit Red Wings are 17-18-4 this year after they defeated Winnipeg by a score of 4-2 in their last game. Detroit led 2-0 in the second and 3-1 in the third, but they needed an empty net goal late in the third to put the game away. The Red Wings out shot Winnipeg by a total of 29-23, won 58.7% of the face-offs, and went 2-3 on the power play in the game. Detroit got goals from DeBrincat, Larkin (2), and Raymond, while Lyon stopped 21 out of 23 shots in the win. 


Prior to that game, the Red Wings defeated the Blue Jackets by a score of 5-4 and the Penguins by a score of 4-2. Detroit has won four games in a row and they are currently second to last in the Atlantic standings with 38 points. Detroit has scored 2.72 goals per game and they have allowed 3.23 goals against per game, while also going 26.3% on the power play and 69.8% on the penalty kill this season. Lucas Raymond has led Detroit with 16 goals, 25 assists, and 79 shots on goal, while Dylan Larkin has added 16 goals, 17 assists, and 108 shots on goal. Alex Lyon is 8-5-0 with a 2.78 goals against average and an .899 save percentage this season. 

Ottawa Senators Betting Preview

The Ottawa Senators are 19-17-2 this season after they lost to St. Louis by a score of 4-0 in their last game. Ottawa allowed two goals in the first, one in the second, and one in the third in the shutout loss. The Senators were out shot by a total of 25-20, won 47.3% of the face-offs, and went 0-1 on the power play in the game. Ottawa was led by Batherson, Pinto, and Tkachuk, who all had three shots on goal, while Forsberg stopped 21 out of 25 shots in the game. 

Prior to that loss, the Senators lost to the Stars by a score of 4-2, but did beat the Wild by a score of 3-1 before that. Ottawa has lost four of their last five games and they are currently fifth in the Atlantic standings with 40 points. Ottawa has scored 2.95 goals per game and they have allowed 2.90 goals against per game, while also going 24% on the power play and 77.8% on the penalty kill this season. Tim Stutzle has led Ottawa with 12 goals, 28 assists, and 73 shots on goal, while Brady Tkachuk has added 17 goals, 20 assists, and 155 shots on goal this year. Leevi Merilainen is 2-2-0 with a 3.10 goals against average and an .884 save percentage this season. 

Why the Red Wings will beat the Senators

  • The Red Wings have won eight of their last nine games as home underdogs against opponents on a losing streak.
  • The Senators have lost each of their last four games as road favorites following a road loss.
  • The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last 10 games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The Red Wings have covered the puck line in each of their last seven games as home underdogs following a road win.
  • The Red Wings have won the third period in eight of their last nine games as home underdogs against opponents on a losing streak.

Total Goals Facts

  • Eleven of the Senators’ last 12 road games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Each of the Red Wings’ last five games have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Seven of the last eight Tuesday games at Little Caesars Arena have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Senators’ last eight games as favorites against opponents on a winning streak.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Red Wings’ last 12 games as underdogs against opponents on a losing streak.

Detroit Red Wings Player Prop Facts

  • Dylan Larkin has recorded at least one assist in each of the Red Wings’ last five games as home underdogs.
  • Lucas Raymond has scored a goal in each of the Red Wings’ last six games as home underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • Lucas Raymond has recorded at least one point in each of the Red Wings’ last nine games as home underdogs.

Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts

  • Joshua Norris has scored at least one goal in four of the Senators’ last five games against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • Tim Stuetzle has recorded at least one point in each of the Senators’ last eight games as road favorites.
  • Brady Tkachuk has recorded an assist in each of the Senators’ last four games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • Joshua Norris has scored the first goal in each of the Senators’ last three games against Atlantic Division opponents.

Detroit Red Wings vs Ottawa Senators Prediction 

Detroit comes into this matchup playing some of their best hockey of the season and they will be at home for this contest. The Red Wings are 9-10-2 at home this year, while the Senators are 9-11-1 on the road. Ottawa has lost four of their last five games and they have scored two goals or fewer in all four of those losses. The Senators were playing very well just a couple of weeks ago, but they have fallen off and are also missing their starting goalie. Take the Red Wings to get the win at home. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Red Wings ML

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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