Detroit Red Wings vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction 12/28/25 NHL Picks Today

The Toronto Maple Leafs and the Detroit Red Wings meet Sunday in NHL action from the Scotiabank Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Detroit Red Wings prediction.

Toronto Maple Leafs Recap

The Toronto Maple Leafs come into this game looking to add on to their 7-5 win over Ottawa last time out to sit at 17-15-5 this season. After this game, Toronto will head home for a game against the New Jersey Devils.

Maple Leafs Win Back-To-Back Games

Entering Saturday’s game against Detroit, William Nylander leads the Maple Leafs with 40 points on 13 goals and a team-high 27 assists while John Tavares has 32 points with a team-high 14 goals and 18 assists and Matthew Knies has 30 points with 7 goals and 23 assists. Auston Matthews has 23 points with 14 goals and 9 assists and Morgan Rielly has 24 points with 19 assists. Oliver Ekman-Larsson has 23 points with 17 assists. Anthony Stolarz has gone 6-5-1 with a 3.51 GAA and an .884 save percentage in goal for the Maple Leafs while Joseph Woll is 6-4-1 with a 2.51 GAA and a .923 save percentage. Dennis Hildeby is also 2-5-3 with a 2.96 GAA and a .911 save percentage this season.

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

• The Maple Leafs have won five of their last six games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Red Wings have lost eight of their last nine games on the second leg of a back-to-back against the Maple Leafs.
• The Red Wings have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last 10 games as home favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in eight of the Red Wings’ last nine games at Little Caesars Arena.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• Nicolas Roy has recorded an assist in each of his five previous appearances in night games at Little Caesars Arena.
• Scott Laughton has scored at least one goal in 10 of his last 13 appearances against the Red Wings.

Detroit Red Wings Recap

The Detroit Red Wings come into this game looking to rebound from a 5-2 loss at the hands of Carolina last time out to sit at 22-14-3 this season. After this game, Detroit will take on the Winnipeg Jets at home.

Red Wings Have Three-Game Win Streak Snapped

Going into Saturday’s matchup with Carolina, Lucas Raymond leads the Red Wings in scoring with 41 points coming on 11 goals and a team-high 30 assists while Alex DeBrincat has 40 points with 20 goals and 20 assists. Dylan Larkin has 36 points with 20 goals and 16 assists and Moritz Seider has 29 points with 6 goals and 23 assists. Patrick Kane has 23 points with 6 goals and 17 assists. Cam Talbot has gone 10-6-2 with a 3.00 GAA and an .887 save percentage while John Gibson is 12-7-1 with a 3.01 GAA and an .891 save percentage so far this season in goal for Detroit.

Why the Detroit Red Wings will win

• The Red Wings have won each of their last seven night games against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Maple Leafs have lost each of their last four road games following a home win.
• The home team has covered the puck line in each of the Maple Leafs’ last five games.
• The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in six of their last seven games on the second leg of a back-to-back against the Red Wings.

Detroit Red Wings Player Prop Facts

• Dylan Larkin has recorded at least one assist in each of the Red Wings’ last seven games against the Maple Leafs at Little Caesars Arena.
• Lucas Raymond has scored at least one goal in each of the Red Wings’ last four games against the Maple Leafs at Little Caesars Arena.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Red Wings’ last five games on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Five of the Maple Leafs’ last six games on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Six of the last eight games between two teams from the Atlantic Division have gone OVER the total goals line.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Detroit Red Wings Prediction

I’m going to side with Toronto here. Bottom line is that it’s not often that you’re going to get these prices with Toronto, and as much as I like what the Red Wings have done so far this season, I still have my reservations about the 1-2 tandem in goal of John Gibson and Cam Talbot. Toronto’s started to wake up offensively after that sluggish start to the year, and I think Toronto can pick up the win in this game at a nice plus price. Give me the Maple Leafs here.