Detroit Red Wings vs Vegas Golden Knights Prediction 3/4/26 NHL Picks Today
Vegas Golden Knights (28-19-14) vs. Detroit Red Wings (35-20-6)
March 4, 2026 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Detroit Red Wings -135 / Vegas Golden Knights +114; Over/Under: 5.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Vegas Golden Knights and the Detroit Red Wings meet Wednesday in NHL action from the Little Caesars Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Vegas Golden Knights vs. Detroit Red Wings prediction.
Vegas Golden Knights Recap
The Vegas Golden Knights come into this game looking to bounce back from a 3-2 loss at the hands of the Buffalo Sabres last time out to sit at 28-19-14 this season. After this game, Vegas will head home for a game against Minnesota.
Golden Knights Lose 3 In A Row
Going into the game against Buffalo, Jack Eichel leads Vegas with 68 points coming on 21 goals and 47 assists. Mitch Marner has 59 points with 16 goals and 43 assists while Pavel Dorofeyev has 47 points with 28 goals and Ivan Barbashev has 42 points with 17 goals and 25 assists. Tomas Hertl’s added 51 points with 23 goals and 28 assists. Mark Stone also has 60 points with 21 goals and 39 assists. In goal for Vegas so far this season, Adin Hill is 5-4-3 with a 3.47 GAA and an .858 save percentage while Akira Schmid is 16-7-6 with a 2.55 GAA and an .895 save percentage this season. Carter Hart is also 5-3-3 with a 3.28 GAA and an .871 save percentage so far this season.
Why the Vegas Golden Knights will win
- The Red Wings have lost four of their last five games as home favorites against opponents on a losing streak.
- The Golden Knights have won 15 of their last 25 games as an underdog when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- The Golden Knights have covered the puck line in each of their last nine games as an underdog when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- The Red Wings have failed to cover the puck line in 13 of their last 14 games as home favorites against opponents on a losing streak.
Vegas Golden Knights Player Prop Facts
- Pavel Dorofeyev has scored at least one goal in five of the Golden Knights’ last six games against Atlantic Division opponents.
- Shea Theodore has recorded at least one assist in nine of his last 10 appearances with the Golden Knights as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
Detroit Red Wings Recap
The Detroit Red Wings come into this game looking to add on to their 4-2 win over Nashville on the road last time out to sit at 35-20-6 this season. After this game, Detroit will take on Florida at home.
Red Wings Alternate Wins & Losses In 6 Straight
Lucas Raymond leads the Red Wings in scoring with 64 points coming on 20 goals and a team-high 44 assists while Alex DeBrincat has 60 points with 31 goals and 29 assists. Dylan Larkin has 54 points with 28 goals and 26 assists and Moritz Seider has 40 points with 7 goals and 33 assists. Patrick Kane has 33 points with 9 goals and 24 assists and Andrew Copp also has 8 goals and 26 assists for his 34 points. Cam Talbot has gone 12-8-4 with a 3.04 GAA and an .892 save percentage while John Gibson is 23-12-2 with a 2.58 GAA and a .906 save percentage so far this season in goal for Detroit.
Why the Detroit Red Wings will win
- The Red Wings have won each of their last 11 games when playing with a rest advantage.
- The Golden Knights have lost eight of their last nine road games against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The Red Wings have covered the puck line in eight of their last nine games when playing with a rest advantage.
- The Golden Knights have failed to cover the puck line in five of their last six games at Little Caesars Arena.
Detroit Red Wings Player Prop Facts
- Alex DeBrincat has scored the last goal in three of the Red Wings’ last four games as favorites.
- Alex DeBrincat has scored at least one goal in each of the Red Wings’ last five games as favorites.
- Erik Gustafsson has recorded an assist in each of his last four appearances with the Red Wings as favorites against Pacific Division opponents.
Total Goals Facts
- Eight of the Red Wings’ last nine games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Each of the Golden Knights’ last four road games on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Nine of the last 10 Wednesday night games between teams from different divisions have gone UNDER the total goals line.
Vegas Golden Knights vs. Detroit Red Wings Prediction
I’m on Detroit here. I just think Detroit’s playing the far better hockey right now, and while Vegas is a solid team, I’m not as sold with this team on the road and I’m still questioning the goaltending depth with Akira Schmid and Adin Hill as the 1-2 in Vegas’ crease. I think the Red Wings pick up another win here so give me Detroit.