Ducks vs Lightning Prediction 10/25/25 NHL Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Ducks vs Lightning Prediction for this NHL game on Saturday, October 25^th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Tampa Bay Lightning Preview

The Lightning have 4 points this season with a 1-4-2 record, and are 2-5 ATS and 3-4 in over/under. They have a 0-3 home record and a 1-1-2 road record and are sitting 8th in the Atlantic Division. They are coming off a 3-2 home loss to the Blackhawks and will face the Golden Knights, Predators and Stars next.

Offensively, the Lightning are averaging 2.57 goals per game (ranking 27^th in the league) and are scoring 20.00% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.43 goals per game (ranking 23rd in the league) and are killing 88.46% of their opponent’s power plays.

Jake Guentzel leads Tampa Bay with 7 points, 2 goals and 5 assists, while Brayden Point follows with 6 points, 2 goals and 4 assists. Andrei Vasilevskiy is the starting goalie for the Lightning, and he has a 0-3-2 record, with 3.41 GAA and .885 SV%. Jonas Johansson is the backup goalie and he has a 1-1 record, with 3.06 GAA and .906 SV%.

Anaheim Ducks Preview

The Ducks have 9 points this season with a 4-2-1 record, and are 2-5 ATS and 4-3 in over/under. They have a 1-1 home record and a 3-1-1 road record and are sitting 3rd in the Pacific Division. They are coming off a 7-5 road win over the Bruins and will face the Panthers, Red Wings and Devils next.

Offensively, the Ducks are averaging 3.71 goals per game (ranking 5th in the league) and are scoring 21.43% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.57 goals per game (ranking 25th in the league) and are killing 68.75% of their opponent’s power plays.

Leo Carlsson and Mikael Granlund lead Anaheim with 8 points, 3 goals and 5 assists and 2 goals and 6 assists respectively, while Troy Terry follows with 7 points, 2 goals and 5 assists. Lukas Dostal is the starting goalie for the Ducks, and he has a 2-2-1 record, with 2.82 GAA and .904 SV%. Petr Mrazek is the backup goalie and he has a 2-0 record, with 5.52 GAA and .828 SV%.

Anaheim Ducks @ Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Trends: October 25, 2025

Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win

• The Lightning have won each of their last eight home games against Pacific Division opponents.
• The Ducks have lost each of their last five games at Benchmark International Arena.
• The Lightning have covered the puck line in each of their last four home games against Pacific Division opponents.
• The Lightning have won the third period in seven of their last eight games against Pacific Division opponents when leading after the second period.

Why the Anaheim Ducks will win

• The Lightning have lost each of their last 11 night games.
• The underdogs have won five of the Lightning’s last six games at Benchmark International Arena.
• The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last eight games as favorites.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the Lightning’s last seven games.
• The Lightning have lost the third period in each of their last six home games.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Lightning’s last four games have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Each of the Ducks’ last four road games against opponents on a losing streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3’ market has hit in each of the Lightning’s last nine home games against opponents on a winning streak.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Ducks’ last seven road games against the Lightning.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

• Brandon Hagel has scored at least one goal in seven of the Lightning’s last eight home games against Pacific Division opponents.
• Brandon Hagel has recorded at least one point in each of the Lightning’s last eight home games against Pacific Division opponents.
• Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in five of the Lightning’s last six home games against the Ducks.
• Victor Hedman ranks 4th in the Eastern Conference for average time on ice (24:43) this season.

Anaheim Ducks Player Prop Facts

• Cutter Gauthier has scored at least one goal in three of the Ducks’ last four road games.
• Jackson LaCombe has recorded at least one assist in each of the Ducks’ last six games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Leo Carlsson has recorded at least one point in each of the Ducks’ last seven games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Jacob Trouba ranks T2nd in the Pacific Division for Plus/Minus (+7) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 27th in the league for goals per game this season (2.57).
• The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 7th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (88.46%).
• The Anaheim Ducks rank 5th in the league for goals per game this season (3.71).
• The Anaheim Ducks rank 27th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (68.75%).

Ducks vs Lightning Prediction

Both teams were tied 1-1 last season with each one winning at home. The Lightning won by 4-3 in a shootout and the Ducks by 4-1. The Lightning are 8-2 in their last 10 meetings, having won their last four meetings in Tampa. Under is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings.

In this Ducks vs Lightning Prediction, the Lightning are coming as -200 home favorites. This line is disrespectful to the Ducks, who have been very good this season and have more that twice as many points as the Lightning. Tampa has been off to a terrible start with just one win in seven games played and score almost 1.2 goals per game less than the Ducks. There is huge value with the road team, so take the Anaheim Ducks by +1.5 goals in this one and maybe sprinkle on the moneyline as well.