Edmonton Oilers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction 3/21/26 NHL Picks Today

The Tampa Bay Lightning and the Edmonton Oilers meet Saturday in NHL action from Rogers Place. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Edmonton Oilers prediction.

Tampa Bay Lightning Recap

The Tampa Bay Lightning come into this game looking to add on to their 6-2 win over Vancouver last time out to sit at 42-21-4 this season. After this game, Tampa Bay will head on the road for a game against Calgary.

Lightning Win Back-To-Back Games

Nikita Kucherov leads the Lightning in scoring with 114 points including 38 goals and 76 assists while Brandon Hagel has 65 points with 32 goals and 33 assists and Jake Guentzel has 71 points with 30 goals and 41 assists. Anthony Cirelli has 46 points with 17 goals and 29 assists. Darren Raddysh has also added 60 points with 18 goals and 42 assists as well on the year. Andrei Vasilevskiy has gone 32-12-3 with a 2.29 GAA and a .914 save percentage while Jonas Johansson is 10-9-1 with a 3.23 GAA and an .884 save percentage this season. 

Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win

• The Lightning have won each of their last six games against Pacific Division opponents.
• The Oilers have lost four of their last five games against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Oilers have failed to cover the puck line in 13 of their last 14 home games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Lightning have covered the puck line in each of their last five games against Pacific Division opponents.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

• Nikita Kucherov has scored at least one goal in each of the Lightning’s last seven road games against Pacific Division opponents.
• Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in each of his last eight appearances against Pacific Division opponents.
• Nikita Kucherov ranks T1st in the league for multi-point games (37) this season.

Edmonton Oilers Recap

The Edmonton Oilers come into this game fresh off of their 4-0 loss to Florida last time out to sit at 34-27-9 this season. After this game, the Oilers will head on the road for a game against Utah.

Oilers Have Two-Game Win Streak Snapped

Connor McDavid leads the Oilers with 115 points including a team-high 37 goals and a team-high 78 assists while Leon Draisaitl has 97 points with 35 goals and 62 assists. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins has 51 points with 18 goals and 33 assists while Evan Bouchard has 78 points with 19 goals and 59 assists. Mattias Ekholm also has 37 points with 6 goals and 31 assists and Zach Hyman has 46 points with 29 goals and 17 assists as well this season. Calvin Pickard is 5-6-2 with a 3.68 GAA and an .871 save percentage and Connor Ingram is 11-7-2 with a 2.77 GAA and an .892 save percentage while Tristan Jarry is 7-6-1 with a 4.17 GAA and a .855 save percentage in goal for Edmonton this season.

Why the Edmonton Oilers will win

• The Oilers have won three of their last four games as home underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Lightning have lost three of their last four games as road favorites following a road win.
• The Oilers have covered the puck line in each of their last four games as home underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five road games following a road win.

Edmonton Oilers Player Prop Facts

• Connor McDavid has scored the first goal in three of the Oilers’ last four games as home underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Connor McDavid has scored at least one goal in each of the Oilers’ last four home games against the Lightning.
• Leon Draisaitl has recorded at least one assist in each of the Oilers’ last eight games as underdogs.
• Connor McDavid ranks 1st in the league for Points (115) this season.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Lightning’s last six road games against Pacific Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the Oilers’ last six Saturday home games have gone OVER the total goals line.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Edmonton Oilers Prediction

I’m on the Lightning here. Every time I give the Oilers the benefit of the doubt like I did against Florida, the Oilers lay an egg and now the Tampa Bay Lightning come to town, appearing to have woken up from their recent nap. I think Tampa Bay gives the Oilers a punch in the mouth here and the Lightning bag the win on the road.