Flames vs Maple Leafs Prediction 10/28/25 NHL Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Flames vs Maple Leafs Prediction for this NHL game on Tuesday, October 28^th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Toronto Maple Leafs Preview

The Maple Leafs have 9 points this season with a 4-4-1 record, and are 2-7 ATS and 7-2 in over/under. They have a 4-2-1 home record and a 0-2 road record and are sitting 4th in the Atlantic Division. They are coming off a 4-3 home win over the Sabres and will face the Blue Jackets, Flyers and Penguins next.

Offensively, the Maple Leafs are averaging 3.44 goals per game and are scoring 13.04% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.67 goals per game and are killing 80.00% of their opponent’s power plays.

William Nylander leads Toronto with 14 points, 3 goals and 11 assists, while John Tavares follows with 12 points, 5 goals and 7 assists. Anthony Stolarz is the starting goalie for the Maple Leafs, and he has a 2-4-1 record, with 3.31 GAA and .885 SV%. Cayden Primeau is the backup goalie and he has a 2-0 record, with 3.46 GAA and .875 SV%.

Calgary Flames Preview

The Flames have 5 points this season with a 2-7-1 record, and are 4-6 ATS and 5-3 in over/under. They have a 1-3-1 home record and a 1-4 road record and are sitting 8th in the Pacific Division. They are coming off a 5-1 home win over the Rangers and will face the Senators, Predators and Flyers next.

Offensively, the Flames are averaging 2.00 goals per game and are scoring 12.20% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.50 goals per game and are killing 75.00% of their opponent’s power plays.

Nazem Kadri leads Calgary with 7 points, 2 goals and 5 assists, while Blake Coleman follows with 6 points, 5 goals and one assist. Dustin Wolf is the starting goalie for the Flames, and he has a 2-6-1 record, with 3.37 GAA and .886 SV%. Devin Cooley is the backup goalie and he has a 0-1 record, with 2.29 GAA and .925 SV%.

Calgary Flames @ Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends: October 28, 2025

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

• The Flames have lost each of their last seven road games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Maple Leafs have won each of their last six games against the Flames.
• The home team has covered the puck line in each of the Flames’ last six games.
• The Flames have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four road games.
• The Flames have lost the second period in each of their last six games as road underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents when tied after the first period.

Why the Calgary Flames will win

• The Maple Leafs have lost each of their last three games as favorites after coming off overtime.
• The underdogs have won three of the Maple Leafs’ last four games.
• The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight games.
• The Flames have covered the puck line in each of their last six games against the Maple Leafs following a home win.
• The Flames have won the third period in each of their last four games following a home win.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Flames’ last six games following a win have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Nine of the Maple Leafs’ last 10 night games at Scotiabank Arena have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last six games as favorites against the Flames.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in four of the Flames’ last five road games against the Maple Leafs.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• John Tavares has scored at least one goal in four of the Maple Leafs’ last five home games.
• William Nylander has recorded at least one assist in nine of his last 10 appearances against the Flames.
• William Nylander has recorded at least one point in each of his last 10 appearances against the Flames.
• Auston Matthews has recorded at least one shot in each of his last 247 appearances – longest active streak in the league.

Calgary Flames Player Prop Facts

• Jonathan Huberdeau has recorded at least one assist in each of his last six appearances with his team as an underdog against the Maple Leafs.
• Jonathan Huberdeau has recorded at least one point in each of his last six road appearances against the Maple Leafs.
• Nazem Kadri has recorded at least three shots in each of his last five appearances – equal-longest active streak in the league.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 28th in the league in power play percentage this season (13.04%).
• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 27th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.67).
• The Calgary Flames rank 32nd in the league for goals per game this season (2.00).
• The Calgary Flames rank 29th in the league in power play percentage this season (12.20%).

Flames vs Maple Leafs Prediction

The Leafs won all four meetings against the Flames last season, winning both games in Toronto by 6-2 and 5-4 in a shootout. They have won their last 6 meetings against the Flames and their last 4 meetings in Toronto. Over is 6-1 in their last 7 meetings.

In this Flames vs Maple Leafs Prediction, the Leafs are coming as -176 home favorites. Both teams have not been in good form lately, but both are coming off wins that ended their previous losing streaks. Calgary has been struggling this season with just two wins in 10 games and are 1-4 on the road. Toronto has a superior offense and a better penalty kill and have been dominating Calgary in recent years and I expect them to get the job done at home today. Take the Toronto Maple Leafs on the moneyline in this one.