Flames vs Senators Prediction 3/5/26 NHL Picks Today

The Ottawa Senators and Calgary Flames meet Thursday in NHL action at the Scotiabank Saddledome. Here’s a Flames vs Senators Prediction. This article will include a Flames vs Senators Pick.

Ottawa Senators Betting Preview

The Ottawa Senators lost to the Oilers and beat the Maple Leafs, and they play the Kraken next. The Senators have won 6 of their last 9 games.

The Ottawa Senators are averaging 3.3 goals per game and are scoring 23.7 percent of their power play opportunities. Tim Stutzle leads Ottawa with 28 goals, Jake Sanderson has 37 assists and Brady Tkachuk has 154 shots on goal. Defensively, the Ottawa Senators are allowing 3.22 goals per game and are killing 72.4 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Linus Ullmark has allowed 94 goals on 810 shots faced, while Leevi Merilainen has given up 64 goals on 457 shots.

Calgary Flames Betting Preview

The Calgary Flames lost to the Stars and Ducks, and they play the Hurricanes next. The Flames have lost 9 of their last 12 games.

The Calgary Flames are averaging 2.45 goals per game and are scoring 16.1 percent of their power-play opportunities. Matt Coronato leads Calgary with 14 goals, Nazem Kadri has 29 assists, and Mikael Backlund has 148 shots on goal. Defensively, the Calgary Flames are allowing 2.97 goals per game and are killing 82.4 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Dustin Wolf has allowed 121 goals on 1,187 shots faced, and Devin Cooley has given up 44 goals on 563 shots.

Why the Calgary Flames will win

• The Senators have lost 11 of their last 18 games as road favorites against opponents on a losing streak.
• The home team has won six of the last seven games between the Senators and Flames.
• The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six games as favorites against Pacific Division opponents.
• The Flames have covered the puck line in each of their last four games against the Senators.
• The Senators have lost the third period in seven of their last eight road games against Pacific Division opponents when leading after the second period.

Why the Ottawa Senators will win

• The Flames have lost eight of their last nine night games at Scotiabank Saddledome.
• The favorites have won each of the last six games between the Senators and Flames.
• The Flames have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The road team has covered the puck line in four of the Senators’ last five games.
• The road team has won the second period in each of the Senators’ last four games.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Senators’ last eight road games against opponents on a losing streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Twelve of the Flames’ last 15 games as underdogs following a loss have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Senators’ last 10 games against opponents on a losing streak.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in seven of the last eight games between the Senators and Flames.

Calgary Flames Player Prop Facts

• Joel Farabee has scored at least one goal in six of the Flames’ last eight games as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Nazem Kadri has recorded at least one assist in four of the Flames’ last five games as home underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Mikael Backlund has recorded at least four shots in each of his last zero appearances – [longest/equal-longest] active streak in the league.

Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts

• Brady Tkachuk has scored a goal in each of his last three appearances against the Flames.
• Tim Stutzle has recorded at least one assist in each of the Senators’ last four games as favorites against the Flames.
• Michael Amadio has recorded at least four shots in each of his last zero appearances – [longest/equal-longest] active streak in the league.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Calgary Flames rank 32nd in the league for goals per game this season (2.45).
• The Calgary Flames rank 30th in the league in power play percentage this season (16.11%).
• The Ottawa Senators rank 30th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (72.41%).
• The Ottawa Senators rank 8th in the league in power play percentage this season (23.71%).

Flames vs Senators Prediction

The Flames look more and more like a team that’s lost its way. The Senators have put together a nice winning stretch, and now they run into a Flames side they’ve won 3 straight games against. The Senators have won 6 of the last 8 games against the Flames overall. This feels like two teams heading in different directions. The price is somewhat reasonable. I’ll ride the hot hand and side with the Senators.