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Florida Panthers vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction 11-27-24 NHL Picks

Toronto Maple Leafs (13-6-2) vs. Florida Panthers (12-9-1)
November 27, 2024 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Florida Panthers -140 / Toronto Maple Leafs +120; Over/Under: +5.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Florida Panthers vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction for this NHL game on Wednesday, November 27th at Amerant Bank Arena in Sunrise, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup. 

Florida Panthers Betting Preview

The Florida Panthers are 12-9-1 this year after they lost to Washington by a score of 4-1 in their last game. Florida led 1-0 in the first period, but they allowed the last four goals in the game for the loss. The Panthers were outshot by a total of 31-21, won 42.1% of the face-offs, and went 0-4 on the power play in the game. Florida got their lone goal from Mikkola, while Knight stopped 27 out of 29 shots in the game. 


Prior to that loss, the Panthers lost three straight games against Colorado, Chicago, and Winnipeg. Florida has scored 3.36 goals per game and they have allowed 3.46 goals against per game, while also going 21.7% on the power play and 81% on the penalty kill this season. Sam Reinhart has led Florida with 16 goals, 15 assists, and 58 shots on goal, while Sergei Bobrovsky is 9-5-1 with a 3.19 goals against average and an .885 save percentage this year. 

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 13-6-2 this season after they defeated Utah by a score of 3-2 in their last game. Toronto trailed 1-0 after the first period, but they scored three goals in the second period for the win. The Maple Leafs outshot Utah by a total of 35-26, won 54.1% of the face-offs, and went 1-6 on the power play in the game. Toronto got goals from Marner (2) and Nylander, while Woll stopped 24 out of 26 shots in the win. 

Prior to that game, the Maple Leafs won three straight against the Golden Knights, Oilers, and Capitals. Toronto has scored 3.05 goals per game and they have allowed 2.48 goals against per game, while also averaging 19.7% on the power play and 83.6% on the penalty kill this season. Mitch Marner has led Toronto with eight goals, 20 assists, and 55 shots on goal, while Anthony Stolarz is 7-3-2 with a 2.18 goals against average and a .927 save percentage this year. 

Why the Maple Leafs will beat the Panthers

  • The Panthers have lost five of their last six games as favorites.
  • The Maple Leafs have won five of their last six games as underdogs.
  • The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in each of their last 10 games as underdogs.
  • The Panthers have failed to cover the puck line in eight of their last nine home games against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The Panthers have lost the third period in seven of their last eight games.

Total Goals Facts

  • Seven of the last eight night games between two teams from the Atlantic Division have gone UNDER the total goal line.
  • Each of the Maple Leafs’ last five games as underdogs following a home win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Each of the Panthers’ last four games as favorites against opponents on a winning streak has gone OVER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Panthers’ last seven games against opponents on a winning streak.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last four games as road underdogs.

Florida Panthers Player Prop Facts

  • Sam Reinhart has scored the last goal in each of the Panthers’ last four home games against the Maple Leafs.
  • Sam Reinhart has scored at least one goal in each of the Panthers’ last four home games against the Maple Leafs.
  • Sam Bennett has recorded at least one point in each of his last 12 appearances with the Panthers as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • Matthew Tkachuk has recorded an assist in each of his last four appearances against Atlantic Division opponents.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

  • Mitch Marner has recorded at least one point in 12 of the Maple Leafs’ last 13 games.
  • Mitch Marner has recorded at least one assist in each of the Maple Leafs’ last five games as underdogs.
  • William Nylander has scored a goal in four of the Maple Leafs’ last five games as underdogs.
  • John Tavares has scored the last goal in three of the Maple Leafs’ last four games against Eastern Conference opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Florida Panthers rank T27th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.45).
  • The Florida Panthers rank 1st in the league in short-handed goals this season (5).
  • The Toronto Maple Leafs rank T2nd in the league for goals against per game this season (2.48).
  • The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 7th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (83.56%).

Florida Panthers vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction 

Toronto comes into this matchup on a four-game winning streak and they have only allowed a total of two goals in their last two games. The Maple Leafs are 3-3-2 on the road, while the Panthers are 6-5-1 at home. Florida has lost four games in a row and they have allowed 20 goals in those four games. The Maple Leafs are one of the best defensive teams in the NHL this season and they are red hot right now. Take Toronto to get the win. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Maple Leafs ML

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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