Flyers vs Capitals Prediction 3/31/26 NHL Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Flyers vs Capitals Prediction for this NHL game on Tuesday, March 31^st. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Washington Capitals Preview

The Capitals have 83 points this season with a 37-28-9 record, and are 38-36 ATS and 32-40 in over/under. They have a 22-11-5 home record and a 15-17-4 road record and are sitting 6th in the Metropolitan Division. They are coming off a 5-4 road shootout win over the Golden Knights, and their previous three games were a 7-4 road win over Utah, a 3-0 road loss to the Blues, and a 3-2 home overtime loss to the Avalanche.

Offensively, the Capitals are averaging 3.11 goals per game and are scoring 17.1% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.88 goals per game and are killing 79.7% of their opponent’s power plays.

Alex Ovechkin leads the Capitals with 57 points and 29 goals. Travis Konecny leads the team with 37 assists, which is also shared by Dylan Strome. Logan Thompson is the starting goalie for the Capitals, and he has a 26-20-6 record, with 2.43 GAA and .913 SV%. Charlie Lindgren is the backup goalie and he has a 9-7-3 record, with 3.29 GAA and .886 SV%.

Philadelphia Flyers Preview

The Flyers have 86 points this season with a 37-24-12 record, and are 47-26 ATS and 36-36 in over/under. They have a 17-12-8 home record and a 20-12-4 road record and are sitting 5th in the Metropolitan Division. They are coming off a 2-1 home overtime win over the Stars, and their previous three games were a 5-3 road win over the Red Wings, a 5-1 home win over the Blackhawks, and a 3-2 home loss to the Blue Jackets.

Offensively, the Flyers are averaging 2.84 goals per game and are scoring 15.6% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.95 goals per game and are killing 78.9% of their opponent’s power plays.

Travis Konecny leads the Flyers with 63 points and 26 goals, adding a team-high 37 assists. Owen Tippett leads the team with 27 goals. Daniel Vladar is the starting goalie for the Flyers, and he has a 24-12-7 record, with 2.44 GAA and .907 SV%. Samuel Ersson is the backup goalie and he has a 13-10-5 record, with 3.12 GAA and .870 SV%.

Philadelphia Flyers @ Washington Capitals Betting Trends: March 31, 2026

Why the Washington Capitals will win

• The Capitals have won each of their last 12 home games after coming off a shootout.
• The Flyers have lost seven of their last eight games at Capital One Arena against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Capitals have covered the puck line in seven of their last eight games against the Flyers following a road win.
• The Flyers have failed to cover the puck line in three of their last four games at Capital One Arena.
• The Capitals have won the third period in each of their last 10 home games following an overtime win.

Why the Philadelphia Flyers will win

• The Flyers have won each of their last eight games as road underdogs.
• The Capitals have lost five of their last six games as favorites following a road win.
• The Capitals have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last 14 games as home favorites against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Flyers have covered the puck line in each of their last 10 games.
• The Capitals have lost the first period in each of their last four night games at Capital One Arena following a road win.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Capitals’ last six games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Six of the Flyers’ last seven games as underdogs following a home win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Seven of the last eight Tuesday games at Capital One Arena have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Capitals’ last 11 games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Flyers’ last seven games.

Washington Capitals Player Prop Facts

• Alex Ovechkin has scored a goal in six of the Capitals’ last seven home games against the Flyers.
• Tom Wilson has recorded an assist in nine of his last 10 appearances with the Capitals as home favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Trevor van Riemsdyk has recorded two points against the Flyers this season – equal-most against any opponent.

Philadelphia Flyers Player Prop Facts

• Noah Cates has scored a goal in each of the Flyers’ last four road games.
• Matvei Michkov has recorded at least one assist in each of the Flyers’ last four road games.
• Trevor Zegras ranks 1st in the league for shootout goals (7) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Washington Capitals rank 29th in the league in power play percentage this season (17.12%).
• The Washington Capitals rank 7th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.88).
• The Philadelphia Flyers rank 32nd in the league in power play percentage this season (15.57%).
• The Philadelphia Flyers have recorded the longest road winning streak (8 games) in the NHL this season.

Flyers vs Capitals Prediction

The Flyers are 2-1 in their three meetings against the Capitals this season, having lost their only visit in Washington by 3-1. The Capitals have won their six head-to-head meetings before than span.

In this Flyers vs Capitals Prediction, the Capitals are coming as -135 home favorites. Both teams are on the outside looking in the Eastern Conference playoff spots, so they both need this win. The Caps have back-to-back wins and the Flyers have been red-hot with an 8-2 record in their last 10 games, so I don’t see value on either side. Both teams are 14-6 to the under in their last 20 games combined and their last two meetings this season were low-scoring ones. Take the under 5.5 in this one.