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Flyers vs Lightning Prediction 1/12/26 NHL Picks Today

Tampa Bay Lightning (27-13-3) vs. Philadelphia Flyers (22-13-8)
January 12, 2026 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Philadelphia Flyers 130 / Tampa Bay Lightning -155; Over/Under: 6.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Tampa Bay Lightning and Philadelphia Flyers meet Monday in NHL action at the Xfinity Mobile Arena. Here’s a Flyers vs Lightning Prediction. This article will include a Flyers vs Lightning Pick.

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Avs and Flyers, and they play the Penguins next. The Lightning have won 9 straight games.

The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 3.53 goals per game and are scoring on 19.7 percent of their power play opportunities. Nikita Kucherov leads Tampa Bay with 22 goals, Jake Guentzel has 26 assists, and Brandon Hagel has 111 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 2.63 goals per game and are killing 83.1 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has allowed 62 goals on 704 shots faced, while Jonas Johansson has given up 46 goals on 433 shots.

Philadelphia Flyers Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Flyers lost to the Maple Leafs and Lighting, and they will play the Sabres next. The Flyers have split their last 12 games.

The Philadelphia Flyers are averaging 2.95 goals per game and are scoring 15.6 percent of their power play opportunities. Trevor Zegras leads Philadelphia with 17 goals, Travis Konecny has 24 assists, and Owen Tippett has 106 shots on goal. Defensively, the Philadelphia Flyers are allowing 2.88 goals per game and are killing 80.8 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Dan Vladar has allowed 61 goals on 675 shots faced, and Samuel Ersson has given up 55 goals on 386 shots.

Why the Philadelphia Flyers will win

  • The Lightning have lost 12 of their last 18 games as road favorites following a road win.
  • The Flyers have won two of their last three games as home underdogs against the Lightning.
  • The Flyers have covered the puck line in 14 of their last 15 games as underdogs following a loss.
  • The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight games as favorites against opponents on a losing streak.
  • The underdogs have won the third period in five of the Lightning’s last six games.

Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win

  • The Lightning have won each of their last nine games.
  • The Flyers have lost each of their last four games against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The Lightning have covered the puck line in each of their last four games.
  • The Flyers have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five games against opponents on a winning streak.
  • The Flyers have lost the third period in each of their last seven night games against Eastern Conference opponents at Xfinity Mobile Arena when trailing after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

  • Each of the Flyers’ last seven home games against opponents on a winning streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Each of the Lightning’s last seven night games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Flyers’ last six games as home underdogs.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in seven of the Lightning’s last eight road games.

Philadelphia Flyers Player Prop Facts

  • Travis Konecny has scored a goal in each of his last four appearances against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • Travis Konecny has recorded an assist in each of his last six appearances with the Flyers as home underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • Nicolas Deslauriers has recorded three blocks against the Lightning this season – most against any opponent.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

  • Nikita Kucherov has scored the first goal in three of his last four appearances against the Flyers.
  • Nikita Kucherov has scored at least one goal in each of the Lightning’s last five road games.
  • Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in nine of his last 10 appearances against Metropolitan Division opponents.
  • Nikita Kucherov has recorded a positive plus minus rating in each of his last seven appearances – equal-longest active streak in the league.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Philadelphia Flyers rank 30th in the league in power play percentage this season (15.57%).
  • The Philadelphia Flyers have recorded the equal-most wins when trailing after Period 2 this season (4).
  • The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 2nd in the league for goals per game this season (3.53).
  • The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 2nd in the league for goals against per game this season (2.63).

Flyers vs Lightning Prediction

The Flyers are a decent home team, so you can make a case for the plus money. However, we just saw the Lightning drag the Flyers on the road 7-2 on Saturday. The Lightning have won 7 of the last 10 games against the Flyers, which includes outscoring them 12-2 in the last 3 games. The Lightning are also on one of those runs which they usually find every year at some point. I say ride the hot hand until it runs cold. No reason to get cute and find a reason to bet against the Lightning. Give me the road team for another victory.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning -155

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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