Flyers vs Lightning Prediction 3/13/25 NHL Picks Today

The Tampa Bay Lightning and the Philadelphia Flyers meet Thursday in NHL action from the Wells Fargo Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Flyers vs Lightning Prediction.

Matchup History

The Philadelphia Flyers won the lone meeting so far this season between these two teams in Tampa Bay by a final score of 2-1 in a shootout back on November 7^th, 2024. Despite that win, Tampa Bay has still won 7 of the last 10 meetings between these two teams.

Tampa Bay Lightning Recap

The Tampa Bay Lightning come into this game looking to bounce back from a 4-1 loss at the hands of the Carolina Hurricanes last time out to sit at 37-23-4 on the year. After this game, Tampa Bay will head on the road for a game against the Boston Bruins.

Lightning Drop Back-To-Back Games

Nikita Kucherov leads the Bolts with 92 points including a team-high 28 goals and 64 assists while Brandon Hagel has 71 points with 30 goals and 41 assists and Anthony Cirelli has 45 points of his own with 25 assists. Brayden Point has 65 points with 32 goals and 33 assists while Victor Hedman has 50 points with 39 assists. Jake Guentzel also has 63 points with 32 goals and 31 assists. Andrei Vasilevskiy has gone 30-18-3 with a 2.29 GAA and a .920 save percentage while Jonas Johansson has gone 7-5-1 with a 3.15 GAA and an .896 save percentage on the year in goal for Tampa Bay.

Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win

• The road team has won each of the Flyers’ last six games.
• The Flyers have lost each of their last five games.
• The road team has covered the puck line in each of the Flyers’ last seven games.
• The Flyers have failed to cover the puck line in 14 of their last 15 games at Wells Fargo Center following a home loss.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

• Nikita Kucherov has scored at least one goal in four of the Lightning’s last five games as favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one point in each of the Lightning’s last eight games as favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in seven of the Lightning’s last eight games as favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• Nikita Kucherov ranks T1st in the league for multi-assist games (20) this season.

Philadelphia Flyers Recap

The Philadelphia Flyers come into this game looking to bounce back after a 5-2 loss at the hands of the Ottawa Senators last time out to slip to 27-31-8 on the year. After this game, Philadelphia will meet the Hurricanes, Lightning, and Capitals.

Flyers Lose 5^th Straight

Travis Konecny leads the Flyers with 65 points coming on 22 goals and 43 assists while Matvei Michkov has 47 points with 20 goals and 27 assists. Owen Tippett has added 36 points with 19 goals and 17 assists and Bobby Brink’s added 29 points with 8 goals and 21 assists as well on the year. Sean Couturier has 31 points with 10 goals and 21 assists and Tyson Foerster has 30 points with 16 goals and 14 assists. Noah Cates has also chipped in 28 points with 14 goals and 14 assists so far this year. Samuel Ersson has gone 18-12-4 in goal for the Flyers this season with a 2.97 GAA and an .889 save percentage while Ivan Fedotov is 5-11-3 with a 3.08 GAA and an .884 save percentage. Aleksei Kolosov is also 4-8-1 with a 3.45 GAA and an .870 save percentage so far this season.

Why the Philadelphia Flyers will win

• The Lightning have lost seven of their last 12 games as road favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The home team has won four of the Lightning’s last five games.
• The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last three games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Flyers have covered the puck line in three of their last four games as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.

Philadelphia Flyers Player Prop Facts

• Jamie Drysdale has scored a goal in three of the Flyers’ last four games as underdogs.
• Ryan Ellis has recorded an assist in each of his last five appearances with his team as a home underdog.
• Ryan Ellis has recorded at least one point in each of his last seven appearances in home games.
• Travis Konecny ranks T1st in the league for shootout goals (3) this season.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Flyers’ last six games as home underdogs against opponents on a losing streak has gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Five of the Lightning’s last six night games against opponents on a losing streak have gone UNDER the total goals line.

Flyers vs Lightning Prediction

I’m on the Lightning in this game. I just can’t see the Flyers getting out of their own way any time soon, especially with a team like Tampa Bay on the other side who does not drop back-to-back games all that often. The Flyers are losing games at home consistently, which is where this team has played their better hockey for the better part of the season and I just can’t see the Flyers bouncing back in this spot. Give me the Lightning on the road in this one.