Flyers vs Senators Prediction 3/11/25 NHL Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Flyers vs Senators prediction for this NHL game on Tuesday, March 11th at the Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup. 

Philadelphia Flyers Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Flyers are 27-30-8 this year after they lost to New Jersey by a score of 3-1 in their last game. Philadelphia cut the deficit to 2-1 in the third period, but they allowed an empty net goal in the last minute of regulation for the loss. The Flyers outshot New Jersey by a total of 24-23, won 43.2% of the face-offs, and went 0-1 on the power play in the game. Philadelphia got their lone goal from Drysdale, while Fedotov stopped 20 out of 22 shots in the game. 

Prior to that loss, the Flyers lost to the Kraken by a score of 4-1 and the Jets by a score of 4-1. Philadelphia has lost four games in a row and they are currently second to last in the Metro standings with 62 points. Philadelphia has scored 2.80 goals per game and they have allowed 3.32 goals against per game, while also going 15.2% on the power play and 77.8% on the penalty kill this season. Travis Konecny has led Philadelphia with 22 goals, 42 assists, and 149 shots on goal, while Matvei Michkov has added 20 goals, 27 assists, and 150 shots on goal. Samuel Ersson is 18-12-4 with a 2.97 goals-against average and an .889 save percentage this year. 

Ottawa Senators Betting Preview

The Ottawa Senators are 33-25-5 this season after they defeated Detroit by a score of 2-1 in their last game. Ottawa allowed Detroit to tie the game at one in the third period, but they scored with about five minutes left to get the win. The Senators were outshot by a total of 49-23, won 62.7% of the face-offs, and went 2-4 on the power play in the game. Ottawa got goals from Cozens and Perron, while Ullmark stopped 48 out of 49 shots in the win. 

Prior to that game, the Senators defeated the Rangers by a score of 4-3 and the Blackhawks by a score of 4-3. Ottawa has won three of their last four games and they are currently fourth in the Atlantic standings with 69 points. Ottawa has scored 2.85 goals per game and they have allowed 2.86 goals against per game, while also going 22.7% on the power play and 76.9% on the penalty kill this season. Tim Stutzle has led Ottawa with 20 goals, 45 assists, and 129 shots on goal, while Brady Tkachuk has added 26 goals, 23 assists, and 253 shots on goal. Anton Forsberg is 8-10-1 with a 2.82 goals-against average and an .895 save percentage this year. 

Why the Senators will beat the Flyers

• The Flyers have lost seven of their last eight games against opponents on a winning streak.
• The road team has won each of the Flyers’ last five games.
• The Senators have covered the puck line in 13 of their last 14 games against the Flyers at Wells Fargo Center.
• The Flyers have failed to cover the puck line in 13 of their last 14 games at Wells Fargo Center following a home loss.
• The Senators have won the third period in each of their last six road games following a home win.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Senators’ last six road games has gone OVER the total goals line.
• Eight of the Flyers’ last nine games following a loss have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Senators’ last nine games following a win.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in seven of the Flyers’ last eight games as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.

Philadelphia Flyers Player Prop Facts

• Ryan Ellis has scored a goal in each of his last four home appearances against the Senators.
• Ryan Ellis has recorded at least one point in each of his seven previous home appearances against the Senators.
• Travis Konecny has recorded an assist in each of his last five appearances against the Senators after playing less than 20 minutes in the Flyers’ last game.

Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts

• Brady Tkachuk has scored at least one goal in five of his last six appearances.
• Tim Stutzle has recorded at least one point in 14 of the Senators’ last 15 games.
• Tim Stutzle has recorded an assist in each of the Senators’ last six games as favorites against the Flyers.

Flyers vs Senators Prediction 

Philadelphia comes into this matchup looking to snap a four-game losing streak and they have scored exactly one goal in each of their last three games. The Flyers are 15-17-1 at home this year, while the Senators are 14-16-3 on the road. Ottawa will be on a back-to-back in this game, as they played the Red Wings on Monday night. The Senators are in the middle of the Wild Card race in the Eastern Conference, so this is a very important game against a lesser team. The Flyers have struggled to generate offense over the last few weeks and even with Ottawa on a back-to-back, I am taking the Sens to get the big road win.