Golden Knights vs Ducks Prediction 5/4/26 NHL Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Golden Knights vs Ducks prediction for this NHL game on Monday, May 4th at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL playoff matchup.

Vegas Golden Knights Betting Preview

The Vegas Golden Knights come into this series after they defeated the Mammoth in six games by scores of 4-2, 2-3, 2-4, 5-4, 5-4, and 5-1. In game six, Vegas had their lead cut to 2-1 in the third period, but they scored the last three goals to put the game away. The Golden Knights outshot Utah by a total of 26-23, won 61.1% of the face-offs, and went 1-2 on the power play in the game. Vegas got goals from Howden, Marner (2), Sissons, and Smith, while Hart stopped 22 out of 23 shots, which was a .957 save percentage. 

Prior to that series, Vegas defeated the Kraken by a score of 4-1 and the Jets by a score of 6-2. The Golden Knights have won seven of their last nine games and they finished first in the Pacific standings with 95 points. Vegas scored 3.22 goals per game and they allowed 2.95 goals against per game, while also going 24.6% on the power play and 81.4% on the penalty kill this season. Jack Eichel has led the Golden Knights with one goal and eight assists, while Mitch Marner has added two goals and five assists in the playoffs. The projected starting goalie for Vegas is Carter Hart, who is 4-2 with a 2.72 goals against average and an .898 save percentage this postseason.

Anaheim Ducks Betting Preview

The Anaheim Ducks come into this series after they defeated the Oilers in six games by scores of 3-4, 6-4, 7-4, 4-3, 1-4, and 5-2. In game six, Anaheim had their lead cut to 2-1 in the first period, but they scored three of the last four goals to seal the win. The Ducks outshot Edmonton by a total of 31-27, won 53.3% of the face-offs, and went 1-2 on the power play in the game. Anaheim got goals from Carlsson, Gauthier, Kreider, Poehling, and Terry, while Dostal stopped 25 out of 27 shots, which was a .926 save percentage. 

Prior to that series, Anaheim defeated the Predators by a score of 5-4, but lost to the Wild by a score of 3-2 before that. The Ducks have won five of their last seven games and they finished third in the Pacific standings with 92 points. Anaheim scored 3.23 goals per game and they allowed 3.51 goals against per game, while also going 18.6% on the power play and 76.4% on the penalty kill this season. Jackson LaCombe has led the Ducks with one goal and eight assists, while Leo Carlsson has added three goals and five assists in the playoffs. The projected starting goalie for Anaheim is Lukas Dostal, who is 4-2 with a 3.87 goals against average and an .874 save percentage this postseason. 

Why the Vegas Golden Knights will win

• The home team has won each of the Ducks’ last four games.
• The Ducks have lost each of their last four Game 1s of a playoff series.
• The home team has covered the puck line in each of the Ducks’ last four games.
• The Ducks have failed to cover the puck line in five of their last six games at T-Mobile Arena against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Golden Knights have won the first period in each of their last seven games against the Ducks following a road win.

Why the Anaheim Ducks will win

• The Ducks have won five of their last six games as an underdog when playing with a rest advantage.
• The Golden Knights have lost five of their last six games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The Golden Knights have failed to cover the puck line in 17 of their last 19 games as favorites following a road win.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in eight of the Ducks’ last nine games.
• The Ducks have won the second period in six of their last seven road games against Western Conference opponents when trailing after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Ducks’ last four games at T-Mobile Arena against opponents on a winning streak have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Each of the last four games between teams from the same division have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Each of the Golden Knights’ last four games as home favorites following a road win have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Ducks’ last 10 games.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Golden Knights’ last nine home games.

Vegas Golden Knights Player Prop Facts

• Mark Stone has scored at least one goal in four of the Golden Knights’ last five Game 1s of a playoff series.
• Jack Eichel has recorded at least one assist in each of the Golden Knights’ last seven games against the Ducks.
• Pavel Dorofeyev ranks 2nd in the league for Power Play Goals (20) this season.

Anaheim Ducks Player Prop Facts

• Alex Killorn has scored a goal in six of the Ducks’ last eight games as road underdogs against Western Conference opponents.
• Jackson LaCombe has recorded at least one assist in 10 of the Ducks’ last 11 games as underdogs against Pacific Division opponents.
• Jacob Trouba has recorded four assists against the Golden Knights this season – most against any opponent.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Vegas Golden Knights rank 6th in the league in power play percentage this season (24.47%).
• The Vegas Golden Knights rank 7th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (81.37%).
• The Anaheim Ducks rank 29th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.51).
• The Anaheim Ducks rank 27th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (76.36%).

Golden Knights vs Ducks Prediction 

Vegas comes into this matchup on a three game winning streak and they have scored five goals in each of those three wins. The Golden Knights were 20-12-9 at home this year, while the Ducks were 19-20-2 on the road. Anaheim played very well offensively against Edmonton in their first round series, but their defense leaves a lot to be desired. Both teams played in higher scoring games in the first round and with Anaheim struggling on defense, I see it being the same here. Take the over in this one, as Anaheim continues to play a wide open style.