Golden Knights vs Maple Leafs Prediction 1/15/26 NHL Picks Today
Toronto Maple Leafs (23-16-7) vs. Vegas Golden Knights (22-11-12)
January 15, 2026 9:30 pm EDT
The Line: Vegas Golden Knights -130 / Toronto Maple Leafs 110; Over/Under: 6.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Toronto Maple Leafs and Vegas Golden Knights meet Thursday in NHL action at the T-Mobile Arena. Here’s a Golden Knights vs Maple Leafs Prediction. This article will include a Golden Knights vs Maple Leafs Pick.
Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview
The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Avalanche, lost to the Mammoth, and they play the Jets next. The Maple Leafs have won 8 of their last 11 games.
The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 3.33 goals per game and are scoring 16.5 percent of their power-play opportunities. Auston Matthews leads Toronto with 22 goals, William Nylander has 30 assists, and John Tavares has 114 shots on goal. Defensively, the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing 3.22 goals per game and are killing 85.1 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Joseph Woll has allowed 43 goals on 525 shots faced, while Dennis Hildeby has given up 43 goals on 471 shots.
Vegas Golden Knights Betting Preview
The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Sharks and Kings, and they play the Predators next. The Golden Knights have won 5 straight games.
The Vegas Golden Knights are averaging 3.24 goals per game and are scoring on 26.5 percent of their power play opportunities. Tomas Hertl leads Vegas with 18 goals, Mitch Marner has 36 assists and Jack Eichel has 143 shots on goal. Defensively, the Vegas Golden Knights are allowing 2.96 goals per game and are killing 82.2 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Carter Hart has given up 36 goals on 279 shots faced, while Akira Schmid has allowed 57 goals on 546 shots.
Why the Vegas Golden Knights will win
- The home team has won 13 of the Maple Leafs’ last 15 games.
- The Maple Leafs have lost six of their last eight road games.
- The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five games at T-Mobile Arena.
- The Maple Leafs have lost the second period in each of their last five games as underdogs against Pacific Division opponents.
Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win
- The Maple Leafs have won four of their last five games as underdogs.
- The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in six of their last seven games as underdogs.
- The Maple Leafs have won the second period in each of their last four games when leading after the first period.
Total Goals Facts
- Three of the Maple Leafs’ last four road games have gone OVER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in eight of the Maple Leafs’ last 10 games as underdogs against Pacific Division opponents.
Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts
- William Nylander has scored at least one goal in four of his last five appearances.
- William Nylander has recorded at least one assist in five of the Maple Leafs’ last six games against Pacific Division opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Vegas Golden Knights rank 4th in the league in power play percentage this season (26.47%).
- The Vegas Golden Knights rank 8th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (82.24%).
- The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 3rd in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (85.12%).
- The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 6th in the league for goals per game this season (3.33).
Golden Knights vs Maple Leafs Prediction
The Golden Knights are putting together a hell of a week, and we’ve been on it. This might be a spot to fade them though. The Golden Knights played an overtime game last night and have to travel, while the Maple Leafs have had a couple of days off. The Maple Leafs have had their road struggles all season, but lately, they beat the Avs, Flyers, and took the Islanders to overtime. The Maple Leafs are also playing their best hockey of the season overall. With improved form and the rest edge, I like the value of the Maple Leafs in the plus money role. I’ll take a bite of Toronto on Thursday night.