Golden Knights vs Maple Leafs Prediction 3/5/25 NHL Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Golden Knights vs Maple Leafs prediction for this NHL game on Wednesday, March 5 at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs (38-20-3, 31-30 ATS) won eight of the previous ten games. That is a huge success considering the Maple Leafs played eight of those on the road and recorded seven victories. Following a four-game road trip during which they defeated the Blackhawks, Bruins, Rangers, and Penguins, the Leafs suffered a disappointing shootout loss to the worst team in the NHL – San Jose Sharks. Toronto shares the top spot in the Atlantic Division Standings with Florida and has three points more than the Tampa Bay Lightning.

The Maple Leafs average 3.21 goals per game this year (10th), while they allow 2.85 GPG (11th). Mitch Marner leads the team with 76 points (18 G and 28 A). William Nylander contributes 62 points (35 G and 28 A), while John Tavares has 52 points (24 G and 28 A).

Anthony Stolarz (13-5-3) will likely take his place in the cage for the Leafs on Wednesday against the Golden Knights. The 31-year-old is allowing 2.20 goals per game this year with a .926 SV% and one shutout.

Vegas Golden Knights Betting Preview

The Vegas Golden Knights (36-18-6, 35-25 ATS) successfully put their worst period of the season behind them and now are playing well. The Golden Knights went through a couple of four-game losing skids but then won five of the next six games. Vegas opened its five-game home stand with victories over the Blackhawks and Devils. The Knights are 1st in the Pacific Division Standings with 78 points, four more than the Oilers.

The Golden Knights score 3.30 goals per game on average (6th), while they concede 2.73 GPG (8th). This season, Jack Eichel leads the team with 72 points (19 G and 53 A). Mark Stone has 51 points (16 G and 35 A), while Shea Theodore chips in with 48 points (7 G and 41 A).

Adin Hill (22-10-4) is expected to start for the Golden Knights at the goal on Wednesday against the Maple Leafs. The 28-year-old is allowing 2.52 goals per game this year with a .906 SV% and three shutouts.

Total Goals Facts

• Eight of the Maple Leafs’ last nine games after coming off a shootout have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Seven of the Golden Knights’ last eight games at T-Mobile Arena following a win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last eight games as underdogs against opponents on a winning streak.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Golden Knights’ last 19 games against Atlantic Division opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Vegas Golden Knights rank 3rd in the league in power play percentage this season (28.47%).
• The Vegas Golden Knights rank 6th in the league for goals per game this season (3.30).
• The Toronto Maple Leafs are one of only two teams to win 10+ games when trailing after Period 1 this season.
• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 2nd in the league for Period 2 goals scored per game this season (1.26).

Golden Knights vs Maple Leafs Prediction

The Maple Leafs won six of the last ten H2H duels, including the first meeting of the season when it was 3-0 in Toronto. Although these teams have solid defenses, their offenses are among the top 10 in the NHL, and given I cannot pick a winner in this clash, I am going with a high-scoring affair. Five of six H2H encounters at Vegas produced at least six goals. Vegas scored nine goals in the last two games, while Toronto scored eight. Expect a spectacle and Over.