Golden Knights vs Stars Prediction 1/29/26 NHL Picks Today
Dallas Stars (30-14-9) vs. Vegas Golden Knights (25-14-13)
January 29, 2026 10:00 pm EDT
The Line: Vegas Golden Knights -135 / Dallas Stars 114; Over/Under: 6.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article we will formulate a Golden Knights vs Stars prediction for this NHL game on Thursday, January 29th at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.
Vegas Golden Knights Betting Preview
The Vegas Golden Knights are 25-14-13 this year after they lost to Montreal in overtime by a score of 3-2 in their last game. Vegas led 1-0 in the first period and they tied the game at two in the third, but lost late in overtime. The Golden Knights out shot Montreal by a total of 34-26, won 55.0% of the face-offs, and went 0-3 on the power play in the game. Vegas got both goals from Dorofeyev, while Schmid stopped 23 out of 26 shots, which was an .885 save percentage.
Prior to that game, Vegas lost to the Senators by a score of 7-1, but did beat the Maple Leafs by a score of 6-3 before that. The Golden Knights have lost four of their last five games and they are currently first in the Pacific standings with 63 points. Vegas has scored 3.31 goals per game and they have allowed 3.06 goals against per game, while also going 25.5% on the power play and 81.1% on the penalty kill this season. Jack Eichel has led Vegas with 19 goals and 42 assists, while Mark Stone has added 20 goals and 32 assists. The projected starting goalie for Vegas is Adin Hill, who is 3-2-2 with a 3.53 goals against average and an .856 save percentage this year.
Dallas Stars Betting Preview
The Dallas Stars are 30-14-9 this season after they defeated St. Louis by a score of 4-3 in their last game. Dallas blew a 3-0 lead in the third period, but they scored with 67 seconds left to escape with the win. The Stars were out shot by a total of 26-24, won 51.9% of the face-offs, and went 2-3 on the power play in the game. Dallas got goals from Duchene (2) and Hintz, while Oettinger stopped 23 out of 26 shots, which was an .885 save percentage.
Prior to that game, Dallas defeated the Blues again by a score of 3-2, but lost to the Blue Jackets by a score of 1-0 before that. The Stars have won three of their last four games and they are currently third in the Central standings with 69 points. Dallas has scored 3.26 goals per game and they have allowed 2.72 goals against per game, while also going 29.9% on the power play and 79.9% on the penalty kill this season. Mikko Rantanen has led Dallas with 19 goals and 45 assists, while Jason Robertson has added 30 goals and 32 assists. The projected starting goalie for Dallas is Jake Oettinger, who is 20-10-4 with a 2.66 goals against average and a .902 save percentage this season.
Why the Dallas Stars will win
- The Golden Knights have lost five of their last six games as home favorites against opponents on a winning streak.
- The underdogs have won four of the Golden Knights’ last five games.
- The Stars have covered the puck line in each of their last 11 games as underdogs against the Golden Knights.
- The Golden Knights have failed to cover the puck line in 11 of their last 13 home games after coming off overtime.
- The Golden Knights have lost the first period in each of their last seven games after coming off overtime.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the Golden Knights’ last six games after coming off overtime have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Each of the last six Thursday games at T-Mobile Arena have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Four of the Stars’ last five road games have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Stars’ last 15 road games against Western Conference opponents.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Golden Knights’ last 11 home games against opponents on a winning streak.
Vegas Golden Knights Player Prop Facts
- Mark Stone has scored a goal in each of the Golden Knights’ last seven games against Central Division opponents.
- Jack Eichel has recorded at least one assist in each of the Golden Knights’ last 11 Thursday games.
- Pavel Dorofeyev ranks 2nd in the league for Power Play Goals (13) this season.
Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts
- Jason Robertson has scored at least one goal in each of the Stars’ last four games as underdogs against Pacific Division opponents.
- Wyatt Johnston has recorded an assist in each of the Stars’ last four games against Western Conference opponents.
- Wyatt Johnston ranks 1st in the league for Power Play Goals (17) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Vegas Golden Knights rank 5th in the league in power play percentage this season (25.48%).
- The Vegas Golden Knights rank 8th in the league for goals per game this season (3.31).
- The Dallas Stars rank 2nd in the league in power play percentage this season (29.87%).
- The Dallas Stars rank 5th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.72).
Golden Knights vs Stars Prediction
Dallas comes into this matchup after winning three of their last four games and they have allowed two goals or fewer in three of their last four. The Stars are 16-7-6 on the road this year, while the Golden Knights are 12-7-6 at home. Vegas has dropped four of their last five and they have scored two goals or fewer in three of those five games. The Golden Knights continue to deal with some poor goaltending and I think Dallas has really turned things around, so give me the Stars on the road.