Hurricanes vs Lightning Prediction 3/11/25 NHL Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Hurricanes vs Lightning prediction for this NHL game on Tuesday, March 11th at the Lenovo Center in Raleigh, North Carolina. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup. 

Carolina Hurricanes Betting Preview

The Carolina Hurricanes are 38-22-4 this year after they defeated Winnipeg by a score of 4-2 in their last game. Carolina scored the first three goals in the game, but they did allow two goals late in the third to ruin the shutout. The Hurricanes outshot Winnipeg by a total of 27-22, won 44.8% of the face-offs, and went 1-6 on the power play in the game. Carolina got goals from Jankowski (2), Jarvis, and Stankoven, while Andersen stopped 20 out of 22 shots in the win. 

Prior to that game, the Hurricanes defeated the Bruins by a score of 3-2 and the Red Wings by a score of 2-1. Carolina has won four games in a row and they are currently second in the Metro standings with 80 points. Carolina has scored 3.19 goals per game and they have allowed 2.70 goals against per game, while also going 18.7% on the power play and 84.1% on the penalty kill this season. Sebastian Aho has led Carolina with 24 goals, 37 assists, and 167 shots on goal, while Seth Jarvis has added 25 goals, 23 assists, and 150 shots on goal. Pyotr Kochetkov is 23-11-3 with a 2.47 goals against average and a .904 save percentage this year.

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 37-22-4 this season after they lost to Boston by a score of 4-0 in their last game. Tampa Bay trailed 1-0 after two periods and they allowed three more goals in the third in the shutout loss. The Lightning outshot Boston by a total of 26-25, won 53.4% of the face-offs, and went 0-2 on the power play in the game. Tampa Bay was led by Hagel, who had six shots on goal, while Vasilevskiy stopped 21 out of 24 shots in the game. 

Prior to that shutout loss, the Lightning defeated the Sabres by a score of 6-5 and the Blue Jackets by a score of 6-2. Tampa Bay has won 10 of their last 12 games and they are currently third in the Atlantic standings with 78 points. Tampa Bay has scored 3.54 goals per game and they have allowed 2.67 goals against per game, while also going 26.1% on the power play and 81% on the penalty kill this season. Nikita Kucherov has led Tampa Bay with 28 goals, 64 assists, and 205 shots on goal, while Brandon Hagel has added 30 goals, 40 assists, and 184 shots on goal. Andrei Vasilevskiy is 30-17-3 with a 2.24 goals against average and a .921 save percentage this season. 

Why the Hurricanes will beat the Lightning

• The Hurricanes have won each of their last eight home games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Lightning have lost eight of their last 10 road games against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Hurricanes have covered the puck line in six of their last eight home games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Hurricanes have won the second period in seven of their last eight home games when leading after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

• Seven of the Lightning’s last eight night games against the Hurricanes following a loss have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Each of the Hurricanes’ last six Tuesday night games has gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Hurricanes’ last eight home games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2’ market has hit in each of the Lightning’s last nine Tuesday games.

Carolina Hurricanes Player Prop Facts

• Seth Jarvis has scored the last goal in each of the Hurricanes’ last four home games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Sebastian Aho has scored a goal in seven of the Hurricanes’ last eight home games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Sebastian Aho has recorded at least one point in each of the Hurricanes’ last six home games.
• Andrei Svechnikov has recorded an assist in four of the Hurricanes’ last five games as home favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

• Brayden Point has scored at least one goal in five of the Lightning’s last six games against the Hurricanes.
• Brayden Point has recorded at least one point in each of the Lightning’s last 13 Tuesday games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in seven of his last eight appearances in night games at Lenovo Center.

Hurricanes vs Lightning Prediction 

Both of these teams come into this matchup with very similar point totals on the season, but Carolina will be on home ice for this game. The Hurricanes are 25-7-1 at home this year, while the Lightning are 14-14-2 on the road. Tampa Bay has won 10 of their last 12 games, but they have struggled in three of their last four games. The Lightning were shutout against Boston in their last game and allowed five goals to a bad Buffalo team before that. Carolina has allowed two goals or fewer in four straight games and with Tampa Bay showing some defensive flaws, I have to side with the Hurricanes at home.