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Hurricanes vs Senators Prediction 4/5/26 NHL Picks Today

Carolina Hurricanes (49-21-6) vs. Ottawa Senators (39-27-10)
April 5, 2026 5:00 pm EDT
The Line: Ottawa Senators 105 / Carolina Hurricanes -125; Over/Under: 6.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Hurricanes vs Senators Prediction for this NHL game on Sunday, April 5th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Ottawa Senators Preview

The Senators have 88 points this season with a 39-27-10 record, and are 34-42 ATS and 40-35 in over/under. They have a 19-12-6 home record and a 20-15-4 road record and are sitting 5th in the Atlantic Division. They are coming off a 1-4 home loss to the Wild, and their previous three games were a 4-1 home win over the Sabres, a 3-6 road loss to the Panthers, and a 2-4 road loss to the Lightning.

Offensively, the Senators are averaging 3.28 goals per game and are scoring 22.0% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.08 goals per game and are killing 75.0% of their opponent’s power plays.

Tim Stutzle leads the Senators with 77 points and 32 goals, adding a team-high 45 assists. Linus Ullmark is the starting goalie for the Senators, and he has a 24-12-8 record, with 2.84 GAA and .886 SV%. James Reimer is the backup goalie and he has a 6-4-1 record, with 2.42 GAA and .883 SV%.

Carolina Hurricanes Preview

The Hurricanes have 104 points this season with a 49-21-6 record, and are 30-46 ATS and 42-32 in over/under. They have a 28-10-2 home record and a 21-11-4 road record and are sitting 1st in the Metropolitan Division. They are coming off a 4-3 home win over the Islanders, and their previous three games were a 5-1 home win over the Blue Jackets, a 5-2 road win over the Blue Jackets, and a 1-3 home loss to the Canadiens.

Offensively, the Hurricanes are averaging 3.51 goals per game and are scoring 24.5% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.88 goals per game and are killing 80.9% of their opponent’s power plays.

Sebastian Aho leads the Hurricanes with 78 points and 26 goals, adding a team-high 52 assists. Brandon Bussi is the starting goalie for the Hurricanes, and he has a 29-6-1 record, with 2.46 GAA and .895 SV%. Frederik Andersen is the backup goalie and he has a 14-13-5 record, with 3.09 GAA and .871 SV%.

Carolina Hurricanes @ Ottawa Senators Betting Trends: April 5, 2026

 

Why the Ottawa Senators will win

  • The Senators have won each of their last nine home games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Hurricanes have lost 13 of their last 18 games as road favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • The Hurricanes have failed to cover the puck line in 16 of their last 18 games as road favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • The Senators have covered the puck line in eight of their last nine games as underdogs on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Hurricanes have lost the second period in each of their last five games against Atlantic Division opponents when leading after the first period.

Why the Carolina Hurricanes will win

  • The Hurricanes have won eight of their last nine games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Senators have lost four of their last five games.
  • The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last five games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
  • The favorites have covered the puck line in each of the Hurricanes’ last four games at Canadian Tire Centre.
  • The Senators have lost the second period in six of their last seven games as home underdogs against Metropolitan Division opponents when tied after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

  • Each of the Hurricanes’ last eight Sunday games have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Each of the Senators’ last eight Sunday games have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Senators’ last nine games as underdogs.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Hurricanes’ last six road games against the Senators.

Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts

  • Brady Tkachuk has scored the last goal in three of his last four home appearances after playing less than 20 minutes the previous day.
  • Tim Stutzle has scored a goal in four of the Senators’ last five home games against the Hurricanes.
  • Jake Sanderson has recorded at least one assist in each of his last seven home appearances against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • Warren Foegele has recorded at least four shots in each of his last zero appearances – [longest/equal-longest] active streak in the league.

Carolina Hurricanes Player Prop Facts

  • Sebastian Aho has scored a goal in five of the Hurricanes’ last six games against opponents who are playing on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • Seth Jarvis has recorded at least one assist in each of the Hurricanes’ last five games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • Taylor Hall has recorded at least four shots in each of his last zero appearances – [longest/equal-longest] active streak in the league.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Ottawa Senators rank T29th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (75.00%).
  • The Ottawa Senators rank 32nd in the league in save percentage this season (.878).
  • The Carolina Hurricanes rank 4th in the league for goals per game this season (3.51).
  • The Carolina Hurricanes are one of four teams to rank in the top 10 for both goals scored and goals conceded per game this season.

Hurricanes vs Senators Prediction

The Canes have won both meetings against the Senators this season, at home by 4-3 and on the road by 4-1 and are 7-3 in their last 10 overall meetings.

In this Hurricanes vs Senators Prediction, the Hurricanes are coming as -125 road favorites. The Hurricanes are on the second leg of a back-to-back and are sitting on the top of the East, looking to secure it. On the flip side, the Senators are tied with three more teams in the 8th and final playoff spot of the East and are fighting for their playoff lives. They are just 1-4 in their last 5 games, but I cannot fade them in this spot, as they need every win they can get. Take the Senators on the moneyline for plus money.

Nikos Lagouretos's Free Pick: Ottawa Senators ML

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