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Islanders vs Flames Prediction 1/17/26 NHL Picks Today

NY Islanders (26-16-5) vs. Calgary Flames (20-23-4)
January 17, 2026 3:00 pm EDT
The Line: Calgary Flames -108 / NY Islanders -112; Over/Under: 6
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate an Islanders vs Flames Prediction for this NHL game on Saturday, January 17th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Calgary Flames Preview

The Flames have 44 points this season with a 20-23-4 record, and are 26-21 ATS and 26-20 in over/under. They have a 12-7-2 home record and an 8-16-2 road record and are sitting 7th in the Pacific Division. They are coming off a 3-1 road win over the Blackhawks, and their previous three games were a 5-3 road loss to the Blue Jackets, a 2-1 road win over the Penguins, and a 4-1 road loss to the Bruins.

Offensively, the Flames are averaging 2.55 goals per game and are scoring 15.6% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.96 goals per game and are killing 82.5% of their opponent’s power plays.

Nazem Kadri leads the Flames with 32 points, also leading the team in assists with 24, while Matt Coronato leads the team in goals with 13. Dustin Wolf is the starting goalie for the Flames, and he has a 14-19-2 record, with 3.01 GAA and .899 SV%. Devin Cooley is the backup goalie and he has a 6-4-2 record, with 2.20 GAA and .921 SV%.

New York Islanders Preview

The Islanders have 57 points this season with a 26-16-5 record, and are 26-21 ATS and 21-26 in over/under. They have a 14-8-2 home record and a 12-8-3 road record and are sitting 2nd in the Metropolitan Division. They are coming off a 1-0 road win over the Oilers, and their previous three games were a 5-4 road loss to the Jets, a 4-3 road overtime win over the Wild, and a 2-1 road shootout loss to the Predators.

Offensively, the Islanders are averaging 2.87 goals per game and are scoring 15.8% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.66 goals per game and are killing 81.7% of their opponent’s power plays.

Mathew Barzal leads the Islanders with 38 points, also leading the team in assists with 27, while Bo Horvat leads the team in goals with 21. Ilya Sorokin is the starting goalie for the Islanders, and he has a 15-11-2 record, with 2.47 GAA and .915 SV%. David Rittich is the backup goalie and he has a 11-5-3 record, with 2.40 GAA and .910 SV%.

New York Islanders @ Calgary Flames Betting Trends: January 17, 2026

 

Why the Calgary Flames will win

  • The Flames have won each of their last four games as underdogs against the Islanders.
  • The Islanders have lost three of their last four games as road favorites.
  • The Flames have covered the puck line in each of their last 10 games as home underdogs.
  • The Islanders have failed to cover the puck line in 10 of their last 11 games as favorites.
  • The Islanders have lost the third period in each of their last six road games against Pacific Division opponents when trailing after the second period.

Why the New York Islanders will win

  • The Islanders have won seven of their last eight games against Pacific Division opponents.
  • The Flames have lost each of their last four games following a road win.
  • The Islanders have covered the puck line in each of their last six games.
  • The Flames have failed to cover the puck line in three of their last four home games.
  • The Islanders have won the third period in eight of their last nine games as road favorites against Western Conference opponents when leading after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

  • Each of the Flames’ last four day games at Scotiabank Saddledome have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Each of the Islanders’ last four games against the Flames following a road win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Islanders’ last seven games as road favorites.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Flames’ last eight games as home underdogs.

Calgary Flames Player Prop Facts

  • Jonathan Huberdeau has recorded at least one assist in six of his last seven appearances against the Islanders.
  • Blake Coleman has scored at least one goal in three of the Flames’ last four home games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
  • Joel Farabee has recorded 31 career hits against the Islanders – most against any opponent (including playoffs).

New York Islanders Player Prop Facts

  • Mathew Barzal has recorded an assist in each of the Islanders’ last four games against Pacific Division opponents.
  • Kyle Palmieri has scored a goal in each of his last four appearances with the Islanders as road favorites.
  • Anthony Duclair has recorded 18 career blocks against the Flames – equal-most against any opponent (including playoffs).

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Calgary Flames rank 31st in the league for goals per game this season (2.55).
  • The Calgary Flames rank 30th in the league in power play percentage this season (15.65%).
  • The New York Islanders rank 3rd in the league for goals against per game this season (2.66).
  • The New York Islanders rank T27th in the league in power play percentage this season (15.83%).

Islanders vs Flames Prediction

The Flames are 8-2 in their last 10 meetings against the Islanders and the over is 6-2 in their last 8 meetings.

In this Islanders vs Flames Prediction, both teams are coming at a pickem price. The Islanders have been the better team this season but the Flames have been playing their best hockey at home. Both teams have not been in good form lately, as the Flames are 2-5 in their last 7 games and the Islanders 2-2 in their last 4, so I will take a pass on the side. Both offenses have been struggling this season as they average 5.42 goals per game combined and both teams have a bottom-5 power play, so I expect a low-scoring affair. Take the under 6 goals in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Free Pick: Under 6

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