Islanders vs Kings Prediction 3/5/26 NHL Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate an Islanders vs Kings Prediction for this NHL game on Thursday, March 5^th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Los Angeles Kings Preview

The Kings have 62 points this season with a 24-22-14 record, and are 21-39 ATS and 26-33 in over/under. They have a 9-14-7 home record and a 15-8-7 road record and are sitting 5th in the Pacific Division. They are coming off a 4-2 home loss to the Avalanche, and their previous three games were a 2-0 home win over the Flames, a 8-1 home loss to the Oilers, and a 6-4 home loss to the Golden Knights.

Offensively, the Kings are averaging 2.52 goals per game and are scoring 16.8% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.88 goals per game and are killing 75.3% of their opponent’s power plays.

Adrian Kempe leads the Kings with 50 points and 22 goals, adding a team-high 28 assists. Darcy Kuemper is the starting goalie for the Kings, and he has a 14-12-9 record, with 2.68 GAA and .897 SV%. Anton Forsberg is the backup goalie and he has a 10-9-5 record, with 2.70 GAA and .904 SV%.

New York Islanders Preview

The Islanders have 75 points this season with a 35-22-5 record, and are 31-31 ATS and 28-32 in over/under. They have a 17-10-2 home record and a 18-12-3 road record and are sitting 3rd in the Metropolitan Division. They are coming off a 5-1 road loss to the Ducks, and their previous three games were a 5-4 home win over the Panthers, a 4-3 road overtime win over the Blue Jackets, and a 4-3 road overtime win over the Canadiens.

Offensively, the Islanders are averaging 2.89 goals per game and are scoring 16.0% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.77 goals per game and are killing 81.1% of their opponent’s power plays.

Mathew Barzal leads the Islanders with 55 points and 38 assists, while Bo Horvat leads the team in goals with 25. Ilya Sorokin is the starting goalie for the Islanders, and he has a 22-13-2 record, with 2.47 GAA and .915 SV%. David Rittich is the backup goalie and he has a 13-9-3 record, with 2.69 GAA and .897 SV%.

New York Islanders @ Los Angeles Kings Betting Trends: March 5, 2026

Why the Los Angeles Kings will win

• The Kings have won eight of their last nine home games against the Islanders.
• The Islanders have lost each of their last five games at Crypto.com Arena.
• The Kings have covered the puck line in seven of their last eight games against the Islanders.
• The Islanders have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last five games at Crypto.com Arena.
• The Islanders have lost the third period in eight of their last nine road games against Pacific Division opponents when trailing after the second period.

Why the New York Islanders will win

• The Islanders have won seven of their last eight games as underdogs following a road loss.
• The Kings have lost each of their last six night games.
• The Kings have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last 14 games when playing with a rest advantage.
• The Islanders have covered the puck line in seven of their last eight games as underdogs following a road loss.
• The Kings have lost the second period in each of their last 10 games when leading after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Kings’ last six home games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Seven of the Islanders’ last eight road games on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Kings’ last six night games.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Islanders’ last eight games as underdogs.

Los Angeles Kings Player Prop Facts

• Andrei Kuzmenko has scored a goal in four of the Kings’ last five home games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• Anze Kopitar has recorded an assist in seven of his last eight home appearances against the Islanders.
• Adrian Kempe has scored the first goal in three of the Kings’ last four games against the Islanders.

New York Islanders Player Prop Facts

• Anthony DeAngelo has recorded at least one assist in each of the Islanders’ last four games.
• Anders Lee has scored a goal in each of the Islanders’ last four games.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Los Angeles Kings rank 29th in the league for goals per game this season (2.52).
• The Los Angeles Kings rank 28th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (75.26%).
• The New York Islanders rank 31st in the league in power play percentage this season (16.02%).
• The New York Islanders rank 5th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.77).

Islanders vs Kings Prediction

The Kings are 7-1 in their last 8 meetings against the Islanders and have won their last five meetings in Los Angeles.

In this Islanders vs Kings Prediction, the Kings are coming as -135 home favorites. The Islanders have been the better team this season and have been slightly better on the road, while the Kings have been the third-worse home team in hockey. The Kings have been struggling with a 1-6 record in their last 7 games, but the Islanders are on the second leg of a road back-to-back, after losing to the Ducks last night and saw their five-game winning streak getting snapped. The Islanders kept Sorokin to start tonight, so I like them as road dogs in this matchup, so take them on the moneyline for plus money.