Jets vs Lightning Prediction 1/29/26 NHL Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Jets vs Lightning Prediction for this NHL game on Thursday, January 29^th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Tampa Bay Lightning Preview

The Lightning have 70 points this season with a 33-14-4 record, and are 27-24 ATS and 24-25 in over/under. They have a 14-9-0 home record and a 19-5-4 road record and are sitting 1st in the Atlantic Division. They are coming off a 2-0 home win over the Mammoth, and their previous three games were a 8-5 road loss to the Blue Jackets, a 2-1 road shootout win over the Blackhawks, and a 4-1 home win over the Sharks.

Offensively, the Lightning are averaging 3.45 goals per game and are scoring 21.4% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.51 goals per game and are killing 84.4% of their opponent’s power plays.

Nikita Kucherov leads the Lightning with 80 points and 26 goals, adding a team-high 54 assists. Andrei Vasilevskiy is the starting goalie for the Lightning, and he has a 23-7-3 record, with 2.07 GAA and .920 SV%. Jonas Johansson is the backup goalie and he has a 10-7-1 record, with 2.92 GAA and .890 SV%.

Winnipeg Jets Preview

The Jets have 49 points this season with a 21-24-7 record, and are 24-28 ATS and 30-21 in over/under. They have a 12-10-5 home record and a 9-14-2 road record and are sitting 7th in the Central Division. They are coming off a 4-3 road win over the Devils, and their previous three games were a 5-1 home loss to the Red Wings, a 2-1 home shootout loss to the Panthers, and a 3-1 home win over the Blues.

Offensively, the Jets are averaging 2.92 goals per game and are scoring 19.6% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.06 goals per game and are killing 79.1% of their opponent’s power plays.

Mark Scheifele leads the Jets with 63 points and 26 goals, adding a team-high 37 assists. Connor Hellebuyck is the starting goalie for the Jets, and he has a 13-14-6 record, with 2.70 GAA and .902 SV%. Eric Comrie is the backup goalie and he has a 8-9-1 record, with 3.19 GAA and .888 SV%.

Winnipeg Jets @ Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Trends: January 29, 2026

Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win

• The Lightning have won each of their last nine games following a home win.
• The Jets have lost each of their last eight games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The home team has covered the puck line in seven of the last eight games between the Jets and Lightning.
• Jets has failed to cover the puck line in each of its last four road matches when playing with a rest disadvantage against Lightning.
• The Lightning have won the second period in eight of their last nine games as favorites against Central Division opponents.

Why the Winnipeg Jets will win

• The Jets have won three of their last four games as underdogs.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in 11 of the Jets’ last 12 games.
• The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last seven Thursday home games.
• The Jets have won the third period in five of their last six road games against Atlantic Division opponents when leading after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Lightning’s last nine games against Central Division opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Each of the Jets’ last three night games at Benchmark International Arena have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Jets’ last eight games as road underdogs.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in eight of the Lightning’s last nine games as favorites against the Jets.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

• Anthony Cirelli has scored the last goal in three of the Lightning’s last four home games against Central Division opponents.
• Anthony Cirelli has scored a goal in each of the Lightning’s last four home games against Central Division opponents.
• Victor Hedman has recorded at least one assist in each of the Lightning’s last four games against the Jets.
• Nikita Kucherov ranks T1st in the league for multi-assist games (16) this season.

Winnipeg Jets Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Connor has scored at least one goal in eight of the Jets’ last 10 road games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Kyle Connor has recorded at least one assist in each of the Jets’ last four games as road underdogs.
• Vladislav Namestnikov has recorded 13 career assists against the Lightning – most against any opponent (including playoffs).

Matchup/League Facts

• The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 2nd in the league for goals per game this season (3.45).
• The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 2nd in the league for goals against per game this season (2.51).
• The Winnipeg Jets have recorded the equal-longest losing streak (11 games) in the NHL this season.
• The Winnipeg Jets have recorded the longest road losing streak (9 games) in the NHL this season.

Jets vs Lightning Prediction

The Jets are 5-1 in their last 6 meetings against the Lightning and are 3-2 in their last 5 visits in Tampa.

In this Jets vs Lightning Prediction, the Lightning are coming as -198 home favorites. The Lightning have been the better team this season and are facing a Jets team that has been weaker on the road. the Lightning have been the hottest team in hockey lately, with a 15-2 record in their last 10 games, including six consecutive wins at home ice. On the flip side, the Jets are just 2-4 in their last 6 games and have been weaker both offensively and defensively, also having a weaker power play and penalty kill, so the value here is all about the home team. Take the Lightning on the moneyline to take care of business in this one.