Jets vs Lightning Prediction 11/8/26 NHL Picks Today

Jets vs Lightning Prediction

The Lightning should be favored because they’re more trustworthy and consistent. However, the Lightning are on the end of a back-to-back with a game that included overtime. The Lightning are also on the road, where all three of their losses have come. The Jets are well rested as they haven’t played in three days, and they’ve scored a combined 11 goals in their last two games.

The Jets have also had success against the Lightning, winning six of their last nine meetings. This is also a revenge spot for the Jets after losing to the Lightning last week on the road. I understand the Jets had a losing streak where they didn’t win a game since the great depression, but they’ve bounced back with two straight wins, and the schedule spot creates value with the home dog. I’ll take a shot with the Jets and the more favorable price.

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Blackhawks and Wild, and they play the Sabres next. The Lightning have won 3 straight games. The Lightning are 3-3-2 SU on the road, 8-0-0 SU at home, and 8-8-0 ATS on the season.

The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 3.8 goals per game and are scoring on 20.7 percent of their power-play opportunities. Jake Guentzel leads the Lightning with 10 goals, 8 assists, and 46 shots. Brandon Hagel has 8 goals, 9 assists, and 62 shots. Nikita Kucherov has 5 goals, 17 assists, and 50 shots. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 3 goals per game and are killing 76.7 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has allowed 32 goals on 264 shots faced, and Dennis Hildeby has allowed 9 goals on 78 shots.

Winnipeg Jets Betting Preview

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Habs and Canucks, and they play the Devils next. The Jets have lost 9 of their last 11 games. The Jets are 3-4-2 SU on the road, 3-4-1 SU at home, and 9-8-0 ATS on the season.

The Winnipeg Jets are averaging 2.6 goals per game and are scoring 18 percent of their power play opportunities. Kyle Connor leads the Jets with 13 goals, 6 assists, and 70 shots. Cole Perfetti has 6 goals, 6 assists, and 51 shots. Neal Pionk has 4 goals, 7 assists, and 42 shots. Defensively, the Winnipeg Jets are allowing 3.5 goals per game and are killing 69.4 percent of their opponents’ power plays. Stuart Skinner has given up 35 goals on 296 shots faced, and Clay Stevenson has allowed 16 goals on 123 shots.

Jets vs Lightning Injury Report

The Lightning will be without Yanni Gourde with a hip injury.

The Jets will be without Elias Salomonsson and Vladislav Namestnikov. Josh Morrissey is out with a wrist injury. Nick Bjugstad is out with a pectoral injury. Haydn Fleury is day-to-day with a hand injury.

Why the Winnipeg Jets will win

• The Jets have won each of their last five games as underdogs against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
• The Lightning have lost each of their last six road games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
• The Jets have covered the puck line in each of their last 13 games as an underdog when playing with a rest advantage.
• The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last 10 Sunday night games.
• The home team has won the second period in each of the last seven games between the Lightning and Jets.

Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win

• The Jets have lost nine of their last 10 home games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Lightning have won each of their last five games against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Jets have failed to cover the puck line in six of their last seven night games following a home win.
• The favorites have covered the puck line in five of the Jets’ last six games.
• The Jets have lost the third period in each of their last six games at Canada Life Centre when trailing after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Jets’ last seven games as underdogs following a win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Each of the Lightning’s last six road games on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in each of the Lightning’s last 11 night games.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in 14 of the Jets’ last 15 games as home underdogs against opponents on a winning streak.

Winnipeg Jets Player Prop Facts

• Alex Iafallo has scored a goal in four of his last five home appearances against the Lightning.
• Kyle Connor has recorded an assist in each of his last four home appearances against the Lightning.
• Neal Pionk has scored two goals against the Lightning this season – most against any opponent.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

• Jake Guentzel has scored at least one goal in each of the Lightning’s last four road games.
• Jake Guentzel has recorded at least one assist in eight of the Lightning’s last nine games as favorites against Central Division opponents.
• Brandon Hagel has recorded two assists against the Jets this season- the most against any opponent.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Winnipeg Jets rank 27th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (69.39%).
• The Winnipeg Jets rank 26th in the league for goals per game this season (2.65).
• The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 5th in the league for goals per game this season (3.75).
• The Tampa Bay Lightning are one of five teams to rank in the top 10 for both goals scored and goals conceded per game this season.