Kraken vs Lightning Prediction 3/17/26 NHL Picks Today
Tampa Bay Lightning (40-21-4) vs. Seattle Kraken (31-26-9)
March 17, 2026 10:00 pm EDT
The Line: Seattle Kraken 154 / Tampa Bay Lightning -185; Over/Under: 6.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Tampa Bay Lightning and Seattle Kraken meet Tuesday in NHL action at the Climate Pledge Arena. Here’s a Kraken vs Lightning Prediction. This article will include a Kraken vs Lightning pick.
Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview
The Tampa Bay Lightning lost to the Hurricanes, beat the Red Wings, and they play the Canucks next. The Lightning have lost 7 of their last 9 games.
The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 3.49 goals per game and are scoring on 21.9 percent of their power-play opportunities. Nikita Kucherov leads Tampa Bay with 34 goals, Darren Raddysh has 41 assists, and Brandon Hagel has 175 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 2.77 goals per game and are killing 81.6 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has allowed 102 goals on 1,177 shots faced, while Jonas Johansson has given up 67 goals on 579 shots.
Seattle Kraken Betting Preview
The Seattle Kraken beat the Canucks and Panthers, and they play the Predators next. The Kraken have split their last 8 games.
The Seattle Kraken are averaging 2.88 goals per game and are scoring on 21.4 percent of their power play opportunities. Jordan Eberle leads Seattle with 22 goals, Vince Dunn has 30 assists, and Matty Beniers has 124 shots on goal. Defensively, the Seattle Kraken are allowing 2.95 goals per game and are killing 73.6 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Joey Daccord has allowed 111 goals on 1,123 shots faced, while Philipp Grubauer has given up 61 goals on 701 shots.
Why the Seattle Kraken will win
- The Lightning have lost four of their last five games as road favorites.
- The Kraken have won each of their last four games as home underdogs following a win.
- The Kraken have covered the puck line in each of their last 11 games as home underdogs following a win.
- The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight games as road favorites against opponents on a winning streak.
- The Kraken have won the second period in each of their last six games as home underdogs when tied after the first period.
Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win
- The Lightning have won each of their last four games against Pacific Division opponents.
- The Kraken have lost four of their last five home games.
- The road team has covered the puck line in five of the Kraken’s last six games.
- The Kraken have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five home games.
- The Kraken have lost the third period in each of their last five games against Eastern Conference opponents when trailing after the second period.
Total Goals Facts
- Seven of the Kraken’s last eight home games against Atlantic Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Each of the Lightning’s last four road games against Pacific Division opponents has gone OVER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3’ market has hit in each of the Lightning’s last 11 games as favorites.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in each of the Kraken’s last six games.
Seattle Kraken Player Prop Facts
- Vince Dunn has recorded at least one assist in seven of the Kraken’s last eight home games against Atlantic Division opponents.
- Bobby McMann has scored a goal in three of his last four appearances with his team as a home underdog against Atlantic Division opponents.
Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts
- Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in each of his last six appearances against Pacific Division opponents.
- Nikita Kucherov has scored at least one goal in each of the Lightning’s last five road games against Pacific Division opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Seattle Kraken rank 31st in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (73.60%).
- The Seattle Kraken have recorded the equal-most wins when tied or trailing after Period 1 this season (23).
- The Tampa Bay Lightning are one of only two teams in the league to rank top 5 for both goals for and goals against per game this season.
- The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 3rd in the league for goals against per game this season (2.77).
Kraken vs Lightning Prediction
The Lightning have had issues finishing games lately and the Kraken are at home and need wins to stay in the playoff conversation. You can talk yourself into the home, dog. However, the Lightning are due for a win and they’ve owned the Kraken over the years. The Lightning are 7-1 against the Kraken all time and they’ve outscored them 9-2 in the last 2 meetings alone. The Lightning have also played some of their best hockey on the road this season. Give me the Lightning and the PL for max betting value.