Lightning vs Blue Jackets Prediction 11/12/26 NHL Picks Today
Tampa Bay Lightning (12-4) vs. Columbus Blue Jackets (7-9)
November 12, 2026 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Columbus Blue Jackets -102 / Tampa Bay Lightning -118; Over/Under: 6.5
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Lightning vs Blue Jackets Prediction
In this Lightning vs Blue Jackets Prediction, the Lightning are coming as -115 road favorites. The Lightning have been the better team this season but they are on the second leg of a road back-to-back. They have been in good form with a 4-1 record in their last 5 games and have a red-hot offense, scoring 4+ goals in seven of their last eight games and will face a struggling Blue Jackets team that is 2-4 in its last 6 games and has a struggling offense, having scored two goals or less in eight of their last ten games. The price is very good to pass for the Lightning, so I will take them on the moneyline in this one.
The Blue Jackets have won their last three meetings against the Lightning and are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings in Columbus. Over is 6-1 in their last 7 meetings.
Columbus Blue Jackets Preview
The Blue Jackets have 14 points this season with a 7-9-0 record and a 6-4-0 home record. They are coming off a 1-4 home loss against the Panthers, a 2-5 road loss against the Sabres and a 2-1 home win against the Stars, and will face the Flyers and Islanders next.
Offensively, the Blue Jackets are averaging 2.44 goals per game with 26.6 shots on goal per game and are scoring 17.1% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.19 goals per game on 28.2 shots on goal per game and are killing 73.9% of their opponent’s power plays. They have 140 total penalty minutes this season.
Kent Johnson leads the Blue Jackets with 16 points, adding 8 assists and a team-high 8 goals with 34 shots on goal, while Zach Werenski leads the team in assists with 12 and has 14 points. Charlie Coyle follows with 3 goals, 10 assists and 13 points, while Valeri Nichushkin adds 9 points with 2 goals and 7 assists and Cole Sillinger adds 8 points with 4 goals and 4 assists. Jet Greaves is the starting goalie for the Blue Jackets, and he has a 2-6-0 record, with 3.36 GAA and .880 SV%. Cam Talbot is the backup goalie and he has a 5-3-0 record, with 2.51 GAA and .909 SV%.
Tampa Bay Lightning Preview
The Lightning have 26 points this season with a 12-4-2 record and a 4-4-2 road record. They are coming off an 8-3 road win against the Sabres, a 3-4 road loss against the Jets and a 4-3 road win against the Wild, and will face the Red Wings and Capitals next.
Offensively, the Lightning are averaging 3.94 goals per game with 29.4 shots on goal per game and are scoring 21.2% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.06 goals per game on 25.1 shots on goal per game and are killing 72.5% of their opponent’s power plays. They have 148 total penalty minutes this season.
Nikita Kucherov leads the Lightning with 26 points, adding a team-high 18 assists, while Brandon Hagel leads the team in goals with 11 with 70 shots on goal and 21 points. Jake Guentzel follows with 10 goals, 12 assists and 22 points, while Brayden Point adds 16 points with 5 goals and 11 assists and John Carlson adds 15 points with 6 goals and 9 assists. Andrei Vasilevskiy is the starting goalie for the Lightning, and he has a 9-4-1 record, with 2.86 GAA and .885 SV%. Dennis Hildeby is the backup goalie and he has a 3-0-1 record, with 2.95 GAA and .880 SV%.
Tampa Bay Lightning @ Columbus Blue Jackets Betting Trends: November 12, 2026
Why the Columbus Blue Jackets will win
- The Lightning have lost each of their last four games as road favorites on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The underdogs have won four of the Blue Jackets’ last five games at Nationwide Arena.
- The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last seven games following a road win.
- The underdogs have covered the puck line in seven of the Blue Jackets’ last eight games at Nationwide Arena.
- The Blue Jackets have won the second period in five of their last six games at Nationwide Arena when trailing after the first period.
Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win
- The Blue Jackets have lost six of their last seven games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Lightning have won five of their last six night games.
- The Blue Jackets have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight games against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The Lightning have covered the puck line in five of their last six games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The Lightning have won the third period in eight of their last nine road games when leading after the second period.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the Lightning’s last seven road games on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Six of the last seven games between the Lightning and Blue Jackets have gone OVER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in 12 of the Lightning’s last 13 night games.
- The ‘Over 2.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Blue Jackets’ last three home games against the Lightning.
Columbus Blue Jackets Player Prop Facts
- Sean Monahan has scored a goal in three of his last four appearances with his team as a home underdog against the Lightning.
- Zach Werenski has recorded at least one assist in each of the Blue Jackets’ last five games against the Lightning at Nationwide Arena.
- Kent Johnson ranks T1st in the league for shootout goals (2) this season.
Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts
- Anthony Cirelli has scored a goal in each of the Lightning’s last four games at Nationwide Arena.
- Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in each of the Lightning’s last seven games as favorites against the Blue Jackets.
- Brandon Hagel ranks T6th in the league for Goals (11) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Columbus Blue Jackets rank 32nd in the league for Period 2 goals scored per game this season (0.50).
- The Columbus Blue Jackets rank 31st in the league for power play goals this season (7).
- The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 32nd in the league in save percentage this season (.848).
- The Tampa Bay Lightning has scored 4+ goals in 12 games this season – equal-most in the NHL.
